GRIT & GF

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected goals, OTT–TOR
3.5–3.0
all situations, empty nets out
TOR share of xG
45.8%
50% is even
Shots on goal
31–33
OTT–TOR
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Maple Leafs beat the Senators 7-5 in a game the chances had about even, 3.0 expected goals to 3.5. Auston Matthews had 13 shot attempts. Max Domi had three points, three assists.

  • Auston Matthews had 13 shot attempts. Nine reached the net and one went in. He finished with one goal and two assists. His 2.2 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. It finished 7-5 for the Maple Leafs.

  • Max DomiBig night

    Max Domi had three points, three assists. He has 17 points in 35 games this season. He played 17:21 and had one shot on goal. It finished 7-5 for the Maple Leafs.

  • Tim Stützle has scored in 4 straight games. That makes 9 straight games with a point. That was his 19th goal of the season. The Senators lost 7-5 to the Maple Leafs.

  • Matthew KniesBig night

    Matthew Knies had three points, two goals and one assist. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his ninth goal of the season. It finished 7-5 for the Maple Leafs.

  • Claude Giroux has a point in 5 straight games. He has 27 points in 37 games this season. The Senators fell 7-5 to the Maple Leafs.

  • Jordan SpenceDrought over

    Jordan Spence scored for the first time in 20 games. He has 2 goals this season. He played 20:55 and had three shots on goal. The Senators fell 7-5 to the Maple Leafs.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

OTTTOR

Where the shots came from

12 goals from 96 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← OTT shootingTOR shooting →

Ottawa Senators

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Thomas Chabot D23:420030.050169
Jake Sanderson D23:200020.071142
Tim Stützle C22:121030.494071
Jordan Spence D20:551130.180167
Artem Zub D20:010000.040134
Drake Batherson R18:371040.413069
Dylan Cozens C18:200100.406079
Claude Giroux R18:090230.191121
Michael Amadio R17:030010.000016
Brady Tkachuk L17:000130.415193
Fabian Zetterlund L15:260100.161066
Ridly Greig C14:341020.210113
Nikolas Matinpalo D14:310010.010042
Nick Jensen D14:300000.001036
David Perron L13:170010.261166
Stephen Halliday C8:430200.003065
Nick Cousins C8:311020.354075
Xavier Bourgault R6:430030.320080

Toronto Maple Leafs

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Morgan Rielly D22:270120.041150
Jake McCabe D22:140100.011146
Chris Tanev D21:270000.000138
Troy Stecher D19:470010.042156
Auston Matthews C19:081292.220080
Bobby McMann C17:251030.301183
Max Domi C17:210310.021074
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D16:450010.002148
Scott Laughton C16:440010.00202
John Tavares C16:381020.891025
Matthew Knies L16:382160.543137
Matias Maccelli L15:540200.001129
Steven Lorentz C15:400000.00502
Philippe Myers D13:320010.013048
Dakota Joshua C13:090000.85702
Nicolas Roy C12:540100.002034
Nick Robertson L9:521150.420042
William Nylander R8:251010.220019

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.