GRIT & GF

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning

Florida Panthers

Expected goals, TBL–FLA
2.5–4.0
all situations, empty nets out
FLA share of xG
61.5%
50% is even
Shots on goal
25–26
TBL–FLA
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning beat the Panthers 4-2 while losing the expected-goals count 2.5 to 3.9. Brad Marchand has a point in 7 straight games. Nikita Kucherov scored twice. Anthony Cirelli had two assists.

  • Brad Marchand has a point in 7 straight games. That was his 21st goal of the season. He played 21:55 and had three shots on goal. The Panthers fell 4-2 to the Lightning.

  • Nikita Kucherov scored twice. His goal stood up as the winner. His 2.0 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Lightning beat the Panthers 4-2.

  • Sam Bennett has a point in 5 straight games. He has 27 points in 37 games this season. The Panthers lost 4-2 to the Lightning.

  • Jake Guentzel played 27:14, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 18 goals this season. It finished 4-2 for the Lightning.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLFLA

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingFLA shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Jake Guentzel C27:141030.432342
Darren Raddysh D25:070050.343246
J.J. Moser D22:280010.032240
Max Crozier D20:250110.084370
Declan Carlile D18:320100.003042
Nikita Kucherov R18:292031.972082
Brayden Point C17:160120.350090
Anthony Cirelli C17:100210.083126
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D16:420010.001070
Zemgus Girgensons C16:060030.072052
Yanni Gourde C15:040110.021188
Nick Paul L14:220020.094217
Pontus Holmberg R13:201010.481384
Oliver Bjorkstrand R12:130000.182084
Gage Goncalves C10:520110.030045
Steven Santini D7:580000.001157
Scott Sabourin R6:320000.00102
Curtis Douglas C3:450000.00006

Florida Panthers

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Seth Jones D25:530020.040323
Sam Reinhart C24:430110.590228
Brad Marchand L21:551030.80209
Aaron Ekblad D20:360000.012175
Eetu Luostarinen C20:141050.816091
Anton Lundell C20:130010.021071
Sam Bennett C19:190120.23309
Gustav Forsling D19:000010.100045
Mackie Samoskevich R18:140120.471054
Evan Rodrigues C16:560130.250172
Niko Mikkola D16:470000.004039
Carter Verhaeghe C14:370010.17108
Jeff Petry D14:280010.101263
A.J. Greer L10:120000.093131
Uvis Balinskis D9:510010.020059
Jesper Boqvist C7:510000.002070
Luke Kunin C4:390010.011071
Jack Studnicka C3:420020.230078

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.