GRIT & GF

Sunday, December 28, 2025

Montreal Canadiens

Tampa Bay Lightning

Final (SO)

Expected goals, MTL–TBL
4.5–3.4
all situations, empty nets out
TBL share of xG
42.9%
50% is even
Shots on goal
35–21
MTL–TBL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning beat the Canadiens 5-4 in a shootout while losing the expected-goals count 3.4 to 4.5. Ivan Demidov had 11 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Three points for Juraj Slafkovský: two goals and one assist.

  • Ivan Demidov had 11 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Three got through to the goalie, and one went in. His average this season was 2.9. He has now scored in 3 straight. The Canadiens lost 5-4 to the Lightning in a shootout.

  • Three points for Juraj Slafkovský: two goals and one assist. He also had 9 shot attempts against an average of 4.1. The Canadiens lost 5-4 to the Lightning in a shootout.

  • Noah Dobson had 11 shot attempts. Five reached the net and one went in. His average this season was 4.0. The Canadiens lost 5-4 to the Lightning in a shootout.

  • Pontus Holmberg has scored in 3 straight games. He has 6 goals this season. He played 12:25 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 5-4 in a shootout.

  • Nikita Kucherov scored twice. His 2.4 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. He has 17 goals this season. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 5-4 in a shootout.

  • Oliver Kapanen had 8 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Five got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 2.8. The Canadiens lost 5-4 to the Lightning in a shootout.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

MTLTBL

Where the shots came from

8 goals from 94 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← MTL shootingTBL shooting →

Montreal Canadiens

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Lane Hutson D28:130130.080272
Noah Dobson D27:291150.152462
Mike Matheson D26:370120.160071
Nick Suzuki C22:430000.052041
Cole Caufield R22:420120.401140
Juraj Slafkovský L20:272150.660066
Alexandre Carrier D18:560010.200166
Ivan Demidov R18:261130.551079
Phillip Danault C16:520010.102150
Zachary Bolduc R16:480010.095214
Oliver Kapanen C16:200150.620270
Josh Anderson R16:170020.384045
Alexandre Texier L14:340010.011031
Brendan Gallagher R13:420030.951077
Joseph Veleno C9:430010.062053
Jayden Struble D8:510000.001011
Sammy Blais L8:220000.011187
Arber Xhekaj D7:150000.05304

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D24:440000.001183
J.J. Moser D24:280000.021364
Max Crozier D23:410010.012535
Brandon Hagel L21:250010.441242
Declan Carlile D20:010000.012339
Nikita Kucherov R19:482032.361045
Jake Guentzel C18:420000.091038
Anthony Cirelli C18:060030.420356
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D17:380120.111141
Brayden Point C16:380100.040122
Nick Paul L16:051010.290028
Yanni Gourde C15:460010.221188
Zemgus Girgensons C14:520020.282186
Gage Goncalves C13:510230.440245
Oliver Bjorkstrand R13:270210.061034
Maxim Groshev D13:030110.020131
Pontus Holmberg R12:251020.302087
Scott Sabourin R2:200000.00100

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.