Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Expected goals, FLA–TOR
- 2.7–3.1
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 53.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 32–23
- FLA–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Maple Leafs beat the Panthers 4-1 in a game the chances had about even, 3.1 expected goals to 2.7. Auston Matthews has scored in 3 straight games. Evan Rodrigues had 10 shot attempts.
- Auston MatthewsStreak
Auston Matthews has scored in 3 straight games. That makes 5 straight games with a point. He has 21 goals this season. It finished 4-1 for the Maple Leafs.
- Evan RodriguesVolume
Evan Rodrigues had 10 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 4.5. The Panthers lost 4-1 to the Maple Leafs.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
FLATOR
0204060
FLA 56TOR 37
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 93 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← FLA shootingTOR shooting →
Florida Panthers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustav Forsling D | 24:43 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 22 |
| Sam Reinhart C | 22:44 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| Anton Lundell C | 21:56 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| Sam Bennett C | 21:15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 36 |
| Aaron Ekblad D | 20:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 39 |
| Evan Rodrigues C | 20:05 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 43 |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 20:02 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 37 |
| Jeff Petry D | 19:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 38 |
| Niko Mikkola D | 18:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 49 |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 16:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Uvis Balinskis D | 16:58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 45 |
| Mackie Samoskevich R | 14:39 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 5 | 0 | 58 |
| A.J. Greer L | 14:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 54 |
| Donovan Sebrango D | 12:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 43 |
| Brad Marchand L | 11:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Jesper Boqvist C | 9:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 62 |
| Luke Kunin C | 8:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 2 | 70 |
| Noah Gregor L | 5:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 63 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Stecher D | 24:09 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 60 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 23:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 38 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 19:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 77 |
| Auston Matthews C | 19:48 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.94 | 2 | 1 | 62 |
| Bobby McMann C | 19:14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.89 | 3 | 1 | 49 |
| Simon Benoit D | 18:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.87 | 2 | 2 | 55 |
| Scott Laughton C | 17:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 3 | 3 | 71 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 17:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| Matthew Knies L | 15:59 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| John Tavares C | 14:57 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 14:51 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 46 |
| Max Domi C | 14:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 14:05 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| Philippe Myers D | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 54 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 12:45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| Nick Robertson L | 12:01 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 55 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 57 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 10:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.