GRIT & GF

Monday, January 12, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

Philadelphia Flyers

Expected goals, TBL–PHI
3.6–2.8
all situations, empty nets out
PHI share of xG
43.7%
50% is even
Shots on goal
26–21
TBL–PHI
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning beat the Flyers 5-1, and the chances agreed: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8. Nikita Kucherov has a point in 10 straight games. Garnet Hathaway threw 10 hits, the most in the league that night.

  • Nikita Kucherov has a point in 10 straight games. That was his 23rd goal of the season. He played 18:40 and had six shots on goal. It finished 5-1 for the Lightning.

  • Garnet Hathaway threw 10 hits, the most in the league that night. He has 1 point in 38 games this season. The Flyers fell 5-1 to the Lightning.

  • Brandon Hagel has scored in 4 straight games. That makes 6 straight games with a point. That was his 22nd goal of the season. It finished 5-1 for the Lightning.

  • Darren Raddysh has a point in 6 straight games. He has 39 points in 38 games this season. He played 25:17 and had three shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Flyers 5-1.

  • Jake Guentzel has a point in 5 straight games. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his 20th goal of the season. It finished 5-1 for the Lightning.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLPHI

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 75 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingPHI shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D25:170230.271145
J.J. Moser D23:000000.001059
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D19:310010.042141
Brandon Hagel L19:211130.430042
Erik Cernak D19:160110.072541
Nikita Kucherov R18:401161.440083
Jake Guentzel C17:431110.210143
Yanni Gourde C16:470100.000139
Oliver Bjorkstrand R15:390110.201015
Zemgus Girgensons C15:160100.090040
Anthony Cirelli C15:090110.450249
Pontus Holmberg R14:591010.301039
Declan Carlile D14:450010.011134
Max Crozier D13:540010.000044
Dominic James C13:290000.001012
Nick Paul L11:320000.100024
Gage Goncalves C10:420010.160063
Brayden Point C5:471050.6300100

Philadelphia Flyers

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Cam York D23:050000.000142
Rasmus Ristolainen D21:560040.211255
Christian Dvorak C19:391020.291137
Emil Andrae D19:320000.042265
Travis Sanheim D19:120010.110268
Trevor Zegras C18:350020.260038
Owen Tippett R17:480030.403099
Noah Juulsen D17:160010.043454
Matvei Michkov R16:070020.460048
Nick Seeler D15:590010.032452
Sean Couturier C15:120000.071167
Travis Konecny R14:210000.372038
Noah Cates L13:310010.130062
Denver Barkey C13:290000.000099
Carl Grundstrom R12:150010.022229
Rodrigo Abols C12:140030.354079
Nikita Grebenkin R10:500000.001066
Garnet Hathaway R10:160000.0010184

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.