Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Expected goals, TOR–EDM
- 3.0–3.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- EDM share of xG
- 53.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 27–36
- TOR–EDM
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Maple Leafs beat the Oilers 5-2 in a game the chances had about even, 3.0 expected goals to 3.4. Matias Maccelli had two goals. John Tavares scored the winner.
- Matias MaccelliTwo goals
Matias Maccelli had two goals. That was his tenth goal of the season. He played 11:29 and had four shots on goal. The Maple Leafs beat the Oilers 5-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TOREDM
0204060
TOR 38EDM 47
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
7 goals from 85 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TOR shootingEDM shooting →
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 25:16 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 58 |
| Troy Stecher D | 22:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 56 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 22:19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Auston Matthews C | 21:11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 36 |
| Simon Benoit D | 17:47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
| William Nylander R | 17:46 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
| Bobby McMann C | 17:36 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1.13 | 4 | 0 | 33 |
| Max Domi C | 17:00 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 2 | 39 |
| Matthew Knies L | 15:28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 62 |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:05 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 2 | 1 | 45 |
| John Tavares C | 14:54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 2 | 54 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 14:42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Philippe Myers D | 11:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 44 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 11:29 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | 0 | 2 | 61 |
| Nick Robertson L | 11:25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 69 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 11:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 9:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard D | 24:33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Connor McDavid C | 21:49 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Jake Walman D | 21:34 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 20:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Leon Draisaitl C | 20:47 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | 68 |
| Darnell Nurse D | 19:26 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 5 | 1 | 55 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 18:18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Zach Hyman L | 18:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Ty Emberson D | 17:04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 87 |
| Jack Roslovic C | 16:11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 62 |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 15:03 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 4 | 0 | 69 |
| Spencer Stastney D | 14:42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 75 |
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 14:14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 70 |
| Matt Savoie C | 13:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Trent Frederic C | 11:35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 4 | 0 | 50 |
| Mattias Janmark C | 10:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Josh Samanski C | 9:55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 45 |
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 8:14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.