GRIT & GF

Thursday, February 5, 2026

Florida Panthers

Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected goals, FLA–TBL
3.0–2.3
all situations, empty nets out
TBL share of xG
43.6%
50% is even
Shots on goal
34–28
FLA–TBL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning beat the Panthers 6-1 while losing the expected-goals count 2.4 to 3.0. Nikita Kucherov has a point in 10 straight games. Erik Cernak scored for the first time in 36 games.

  • Nikita Kucherov has a point in 10 straight games. He has 91 points in 52 games this season. He played 17:54 and had three shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Panthers 6-1.

  • Erik CernakDrought over

    Erik Cernak scored for the first time in 36 games. He has 1 goal this season. He played 23:13 and had two shots on goal. It finished 6-1 for the Lightning.

  • Oliver Bjorkstrand has scored in 3 straight games. He has 10 goals this season. He played 16:01 and had three shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Panthers 6-1.

  • Uvis Balinskis played 25:58, about 10 minutes more than his average this season. He also had 7 shot attempts against an average of 2.3. The Panthers fell 6-1 to the Lightning.

  • Darren Raddysh has a point in 6 straight games. He has 52 points in 49 games this season. He played 19:37 and had two shots on goal. It finished 6-1 for the Lightning.

  • Daniil TarasovRough night

    Daniil Tarasov allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.2 expected goals. That is 2.8 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Panthers fell 6-1 to the Lightning.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

FLATBL

Where the shots came from

7 goals from 83 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← FLA shootingTBL shooting →

Florida Panthers

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Uvis Balinskis D25:580050.231264
Jeff Petry D22:050020.040055
Sam Reinhart C20:490000.001020
Anton Lundell C20:470120.230040
Niko Mikkola D20:450020.050153
Gustav Forsling D18:420040.200064
Eetu Luostarinen C17:100000.001166
Sam Bennett C16:020030.551250
Cole Schwindt R15:180000.001172
Mackie Samoskevich R15:011070.661076
Sandis Vilmanis L14:570000.031078
Matthew Tkachuk L13:400030.292063
A.J. Greer L13:360010.231059
Donovan Sebrango D12:250020.011159
Luke Kunin C12:130010.103163
Carter Verhaeghe C11:380020.201059
Mikulas Hovorka D11:270000.000018
Jesper Boqvist C10:230100.142063

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Erik Cernak D23:131020.054130
Ryan McDonagh D22:590100.000343
Darren Raddysh D19:370120.122159
Brandon Hagel L19:281010.040029
Zemgus Girgensons C18:201040.434056
Nikita Kucherov R17:540130.235140
Victor Hedman D17:520150.230129
Pontus Holmberg R17:441130.372167
Jake Guentzel C17:071010.190015
Declan Carlile D16:420010.002142
Oliver Bjorkstrand R16:011130.340251
Dominic James C15:230100.091053
J.J. Moser D14:550000.011146
Yanni Gourde C14:160100.002142
Gage Goncalves C13:150110.162054
Scott Sabourin R9:230010.015213
Jack Finley C6:420000.00317
Curtis Douglas C6:130010.021116

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.