GRIT & GF

Thursday, February 26, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes

Expected goals, TBL–CAR
3.5–2.5
all situations, empty nets out
CAR share of xG
42.0%
50% is even
Shots on goal
28–33
TBL–CAR
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Hurricanes beat the Lightning 5-4 while losing the expected-goals count 2.5 to 3.4. Nikita Kucherov has a point in 12 straight games. Jake Guentzel had three points, three assists.

  • Nikita Kucherov has a point in 12 straight games. He played 25:07, about 5 minutes over his average. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes.

  • Jake GuentzelBig night

    Jake Guentzel had three points, three assists. He also had 9 shot attempts against an average of 4.7. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes.

  • Brayden Point has scored in 3 straight games. That was his 14th goal of the season. He played 22:06 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes.

  • Jonas JohanssonRough night

    Jonas Johansson allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.5 expected goals. That is 2.5 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Hurricanes.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLCAR

Where the shots came from

9 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingCAR shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D26:010140.170546
Nikita Kucherov R25:071020.340151
Brayden Point C22:061120.631050
Jake Guentzel C22:030340.561173
Brandon Hagel L20:421020.150166
J.J. Moser D19:420120.031056
Dominic James C16:551040.610172
Yanni Gourde C16:040030.234044
Ryan McDonagh D15:430100.190072
Erik Cernak D15:260020.080170
Gage Goncalves C14:550020.041042
Zemgus Girgensons C14:530000.002151
Victor Hedman D14:210000.000352
Pontus Holmberg R14:010010.331056
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D13:190000.000223
Oliver Bjorkstrand R13:010000.070461
Declan Carlile D11:040000.022146
Scott Sabourin R5:000100.002022

Carolina Hurricanes

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Jaccob Slavin D23:310020.011252
K'Andre Miller D20:420110.035344
Jalen Chatfield D20:170100.000054
Sebastian Aho C19:431030.210037
Shayne Gostisbehere D18:450020.043042
Andrei Svechnikov R18:360231.041253
Seth Jarvis C18:211130.390051
Sean Walker D18:120000.003238
Jackson Blake R17:480110.031042
Alexander Nikishin D16:130040.161438
Logan Stankoven C16:021120.352052
Taylor Hall L16:011120.271056
Jordan Staal C15:190010.133137
Nikolaj Ehlers L14:581030.240020
Jordan Martinook L14:310110.001127
William Carrier L9:500020.240148
Mark Jankowski L9:450110.090149
Eric Robinson L9:200020.131060

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.