Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Expected goals, NYI–TOR
- 3.9–3.0
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 43.4%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 34–27
- NYI–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Islanders beat the Maple Leafs 3-1, and the chances agreed: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9. Mathew Barzal had three points, three assists. Steven Lorentz scored for the first time in 29 games.
- Mathew BarzalBig night
Mathew Barzal had three points, three assists. He has 63 points in 67 games this season. He played 18:31 and had one shot on goal. The Islanders beat the Maple Leafs 3-1.
- Steven LorentzDrought over
Steven Lorentz scored for the first time in 29 games. That was his fifth goal of the season. The Maple Leafs lost 3-1 to the Islanders.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
NYITOR
0204060
NYI 53TOR 43
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 96 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← NYI shootingTOR shooting →
New York Islanders
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer D | 22:57 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 20:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 32 |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 20:22 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Mathew Barzal C | 18:31 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 68 |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 18:21 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Bo Horvat C | 17:54 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 74 |
| Adam Pelech D | 17:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Anders Lee L | 16:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 1 | 1 | 45 |
| Scott Mayfield D | 16:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Carson Soucy D | 16:13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 67 |
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 15:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Emil Heineman L | 15:32 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.81 | 2 | 0 | 66 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 15:06 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Anthony Duclair L | 13:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Casey Cizikas C | 12:19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 39 |
| Ondrej Palat L | 10:01 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Kyle MacLean C | 10:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 36 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 25:53 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 42 |
| William Nylander R | 22:35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| Jake McCabe D | 22:28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 53 |
| John Tavares C | 20:16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.90 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:05 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 54 |
| Matthew Knies L | 19:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 0 | 68 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 18:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 44 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 18:19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
| Troy Stecher D | 15:19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| Max Domi C | 15:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Philippe Myers D | 13:45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 72 |
| Easton Cowan R | 13:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Bo Groulx C | 12:13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 52 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 12:03 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 2 | 60 |
| Nick Robertson L | 11:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 48 |
| Dakota Joshua C | 11:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 70 |
| Jacob Quillan C | 10:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 66 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 77 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.