Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Expected goals, MTL–TBL
- 2.2–3.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 61.5%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 23–37
- MTL–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Canadiens beat the Lightning 4-1 while losing the expected-goals count 2.3 to 3.6. Jake Guentzel has scored in 5 straight games. Jakub Dobes saved 2.6 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots.
- Jake GuentzelStreak
Jake Guentzel has scored in 5 straight games. That makes 5 straight games with a point. He has 36 goals this season. The Lightning fell 4-1 to the Canadiens.
- Jakub DobesStole one
Jakub Dobes saved 2.6 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 36 of 37. It finished 4-1 for the Canadiens.
- Cole CaufieldStreak
Cole Caufield has scored in 3 straight games. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 47 goals this season. The Canadiens beat the Lightning 4-1.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Montreal Canadiens
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Hutson D | 26:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 47 |
| Mike Matheson D | 23:28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.86 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| Noah Dobson D | 21:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| Nick Suzuki C | 20:27 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1.22 | 1 | 1 | 46 |
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 19:12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 2 | 45 |
| Kaiden Guhle D | 18:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 46 |
| Cole Caufield R | 17:05 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 58 |
| Ivan Demidov R | 15:43 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Alex Newhook C | 14:45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| Phillip Danault C | 14:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| Jake Evans C | 14:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 44 |
| Oliver Kapanen C | 14:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Jayden Struble D | 13:48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 59 |
| Joseph Veleno C | 13:03 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 0 | 58 |
| Arber Xhekaj D | 12:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Josh Anderson R | 12:31 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 4 | 0 | 52 |
| Zachary Bolduc R | 10:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 83 |
| Brendan Gallagher R | 8:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 56 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 23:35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 23:10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 43 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 22:21 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:06 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 51 |
| Brayden Point C | 20:32 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.62 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 19:33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 75 |
| J.J. Moser D | 17:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 44 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 17:23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 17:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| Erik Cernak D | 15:58 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 3 | 1 | 85 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 15:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 14:19 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 66 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 12:42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 68 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 11:15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 78 |
| Nick Paul L | 10:47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| Corey Perry R | 9:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Scott Sabourin R | 9:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute