GRIT & GF

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

Montreal Canadiens

Expected goals, TBL–MTL
3.7–2.8
all situations, empty nets out
MTL share of xG
43.1%
50% is even
Shots on goal
20–18
TBL–MTL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning won 3-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Canadiens 3.7 to 2.7 in expected goals. The Lightning came back from two goals down. Kaiden Guhle threw 11 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. Brandon Hagel has scored in 4 straight games.

  • Kaiden GuhlePhysical

    Kaiden Guhle threw 11 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. He has 12 points in 43 games this season. The Canadiens fell 3-2 to the Lightning.

  • Brandon Hagel has scored in 4 straight games. He scored twice. He played 25:34, about 6 minutes over his average. It finished 3-2 for the Lightning.

  • Jake Guentzel has a point in 6 straight games. That was his 39th goal of the season. He played 22:40 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 3-2.

  • Brayden Point had 9 shot attempts. Three reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 3.9 attempts a game. It finished 3-2 for the Lightning.

  • Nick Suzuki had 9 shot attempts. Three got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 4.6. The Canadiens lost 3-2 to the Lightning.

Shot data shows up once the overnight job loads this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Brandon Hagel L25:342030.522186
Darren Raddysh D25:180130.272177
Nikita Kucherov R22:570230.410081
Jake Guentzel C22:401120.891058
Ryan McDonagh D20:220000.033232
Brayden Point C19:570030.890098
Erik Cernak D19:370000.002113
J.J. Moser D19:330210.130275
Anthony Cirelli C18:580000.002341
Emil Lilleberg D13:430000.001173
Yanni Gourde C12:460010.122132
Max Crozier D11:540020.101189
Dominic James C11:250000.00208
Gage Goncalves C10:440000.003019
Corey Perry R8:500020.331062
Zemgus Girgensons C8:460000.032158
Oliver Bjorkstrand R8:180000.002013
Nick Paul L7:330000.012038

Montreal Canadiens

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Lane Hutson D26:150110.131368
Mike Matheson D23:080020.153214
Kaiden Guhle D22:480110.0211263
Nick Suzuki C22:230130.944425
Alexandre Carrier D21:240000.052116
Cole Caufield R19:031020.372029
Juraj Slafkovský L18:460020.572129
Jake Evans C15:490000.005154
Alex Newhook C15:470000.001051
Ivan Demidov R15:290010.180049
Phillip Danault C15:020010.041033
Josh Anderson R13:180000.004081
Alexandre Texier L12:440100.000042
Zachary Bolduc R11:531020.173038
Kirby Dach C9:510010.132031
Jayden Struble D9:240010.023062
Arber Xhekaj D8:180000.006072
Oliver Kapanen C7:320010.060124

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.