GRIT & GF

Friday, May 1, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

Montreal Canadiens

Final (OT)

Expected goals, TBL–MTL
4.6–4.0
all situations, empty nets out
MTL share of xG
46.5%
50% is even
Shots on goal
33–30
TBL–MTL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning beat the Canadiens 1-0 in overtime, and the chances agreed: 4.8 expected goals to 4.1. Darren Raddysh had 17 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Nikita Kucherov had 17 shot attempts.

  • Darren Raddysh had 17 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Six got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 6.3. He played 28:11, about 5 minutes over his average. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 1-0 in overtime.

  • Nikita Kucherov had 17 shot attempts. Six reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 7.1. His 1.2 expected goals came up empty. It finished 1-0 for the Lightning in overtime.

  • Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped all 30 shots for the shutout. The shots he faced were worth 4.1 goals to an average goalie. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 1-0 in overtime.

  • Gage GoncalvesOvertime winner

    Gage Goncalves scored the overtime winner. It was his first goal in 21 games. That was his 12th goal of the season. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 1-0 in overtime.

  • Jakub DobesLost anyway

    Jakub Dobes saved 3.8 goals above expected on 33 shots. It was not enough. He is 18.1 goals above expected for the season. The Canadiens lost 1-0 to the Lightning in overtime.

  • Josh Anderson finished 9 checks, the most in the league that night. He has 25 points in 78 games this season. The Canadiens lost 1-0 to the Lightning in overtime.

Shot data shows up once the overnight job loads this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Brandon Hagel L29:050130.312360
Darren Raddysh D28:110060.721055
J.J. Moser D25:340010.141061
Anthony Cirelli C23:110000.002153
Erik Cernak D23:100020.053131
Nikita Kucherov R22:500061.141054
Ryan McDonagh D21:520000.001522
Jake Guentzel C20:550030.490058
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D18:290040.174260
Brayden Point C17:210010.591164
Emil Lilleberg D16:260000.153073
Gage Goncalves C15:261020.271041
Yanni Gourde C13:530020.192045
Dominic James C13:360130.101050
Zemgus Girgensons C12:440000.105156
Nick Paul L12:250000.154235
Oliver Bjorkstrand R12:240000.084143
Corey Perry R9:430000.002078

Montreal Canadiens

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Lane Hutson D30:460020.330253
Mike Matheson D28:470000.001448
Nick Suzuki C24:550000.302150
Alexandre Carrier D24:290000.101347
Kaiden Guhle D24:140010.053256
Juraj Slafkovský L22:310020.663366
Cole Caufield R19:410040.582053
Phillip Danault C19:310020.104132
Josh Anderson R18:530030.189040
Ivan Demidov R17:380050.701160
Alexandre Texier L17:050030.230236
Jake Evans C16:080020.246267
Zachary Bolduc R15:390030.213130
Alex Newhook C14:310010.240147
Jayden Struble D12:530000.015033
Kirby Dach C12:090010.060037
Arber Xhekaj D11:460010.037122
Brendan Gallagher R5:390000.002044

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.