GRIT & GF

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

New York Rangers

Expected goals, TBL–NYR
2.8–2.8
all situations, empty nets out
NYR share of xG
50.3%
50% is even
Shots on goal
24–25
TBL–NYR
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Rangers beat the Lightning 5-1 in a game the chances had about even, 2.8 expected goals to 2.7. The Rangers scored three straight at one stage. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. Eeli Tolvanen scored for the first time in 18 games. Pavel Dorofeyev had 9 shot attempts.

  • Eeli TolvanenDrought over

    Eeli Tolvanen scored for the first time in 18 games. That was his first goal of the season. He played 14:18 and had one shot on goal. It finished 5-1 for the Rangers.

  • Pavel Dorofeyev had 9 shot attempts. Five reached the net and one went in. His average this season was 6.0. His goal stood up as the winner. The Rangers beat the Lightning 5-1.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLNYR

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 75 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingNYR shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Nikita Kucherov R24:071010.250162
Jake Guentzel C24:020030.240032
John Carlson D23:410040.151238
Brandon Hagel L23:400030.291074
Brayden Point C22:380110.290145
Anthony Cirelli C19:560030.201275
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D19:070000.002251
Victor Hedman D17:450020.042443
Erik Cernak D16:000010.115047
Ryan McDonagh D15:460010.011168
Pontus Holmberg R14:590030.421036
J.J. Moser D14:540000.191234
Conor Geekie C12:320000.003033
Gage Goncalves C12:090000.061032
Ilya Mikheyev R10:560100.210252
Jansen Harkins C10:550010.185031
Jeffrey Viel L8:490010.154046
Zemgus Girgensons C7:390000.003052

New York Rangers

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Vladislav Gavrikov D23:200000.001560
Marcus Pettersson D21:380010.960560
Sean Durzi D20:540000.000256
Adam Fox D19:040200.960062
Mika Zibanejad C18:531130.512366
Braden Schneider D18:480030.032144
Noah Laba C16:140100.000158
J.T. Miller C15:330011.010260
Alexis Lafrenière L15:150030.300067
Tye Kartye L14:470000.005031
Joseph Veleno C14:450010.124230
Eeli Tolvanen R14:181010.040169
Will Cuylle L14:120030.483064
Alberts Smits D14:090000.002150
Pavel Dorofeyev R13:441150.640053
Oliver Bjorkstrand R12:250110.090060
Gabe Perreault R10:461010.092065
Jaroslav Chmelar R6:180010.121029

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.