Monday, October 5, 2026
- Expected goals, PHI–TBL
- 1.8–4.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 71.0%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 15–36
- PHI–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Flyers 4-1, and the chances agreed: 4.3 expected goals to 1.8. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. Brandon Hagel had 12 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Tyson Foerster had 9 shot attempts. The Lightning outshot the Flyers 36-15.
- Brandon HagelVolume
Brandon Hagel had 12 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Eight got through to the goalie, and one went in. His average this season was 9.0. It finished 4-1 for the Lightning.
- Tyson FoersterVolume
Tyson Foerster had 9 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 3.7 attempts a game. The Flyers fell 4-1 to the Lightning.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 76 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Philadelphia Flyers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 25:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 5 | 22 |
| Cam York D | 23:31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Nick Seeler D | 19:36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 43 |
| Travis Konecny R | 19:05 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:55 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 26 |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 18:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| David Jiricek D | 17:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 64 |
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Sean Couturier C | 16:35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Porter Martone R | 14:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Christian Dvorak C | 14:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Owen Tippett R | 13:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Noel Acciari C | 13:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
| Denver Barkey C | 13:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Simon Benoit D | 11:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| Noah Cates L | 11:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 43 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Cernak D | 22:15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 90 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 21:59 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 86 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:20 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 74 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 20:11 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1.61 | 0 | 1 | 75 |
| Brayden Point C | 18:09 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| John Carlson D | 17:51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| J.J. Moser D | 17:03 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 2 | 80 |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:43 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 47 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 16:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 76 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 16:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 94 |
| Victor Hedman D | 16:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 64 |
| Max Crozier D | 15:24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 3 | 1 | 71 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 15:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 87 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 14:23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 67 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 13:05 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 | 71 |
| Conor Geekie C | 11:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 64 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 10:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 60 |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 8:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 61 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute