Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, TBL–NYR
- 2.4–2.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- NYR share of xG
- 51.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–23
- TBL–NYR
- Pre-game model
- NYR 42%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Rangers beat the Lightning 4-1 in a game the chances had about even, 2.5 expected goals to 2.4. The Rangers led from the first goal on. One of the goals went into an empty net. Will Cuylle threw 11 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. Alexis Lafrenière has scored in 4 straight games.
- Will CuyllePhysical
Will Cuylle threw 11 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. He has 3 goals this season. He played 16:59 and had four shots on goal. The Rangers beat the Lightning 4-1.
- Alexis LafrenièreStreak
Alexis Lafrenière has scored in 4 straight games. He scored twice. That makes 5 straight games with a point. The Rangers beat the Lightning 4-1.
- Brayden PointVolume
Brayden Point had 11 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 5.4. The Lightning fell 4-1 to the Rangers.
- J.T. MillerStreak
J.T. Miller has a point in 5 straight games. He has 6 points in 8 games this season. He played 20:19 and had one shot on goal. It finished 4-1 for the Rangers.
- Zemgus GirgensonsDrought over
Zemgus Girgensons scored for the first time in 18 games. That was his first goal of the season. The Lightning lost 4-1 to the Rangers.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 73 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov R | 23:15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 20:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Brayden Point C | 20:12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 73 |
| John Carlson D | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| J.J. Moser D | 19:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 78 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 18:44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| Max Crozier D | 18:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 41 |
| Erik Cernak D | 17:02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 4 | 36 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 16:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 58 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 15:02 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 2 | 0 | 61 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 43 |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 13:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 62 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 13:42 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 67 |
| Conor Geekie C | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Victor Hedman D | 13:16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 12:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 9:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
New York Rangers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad C | 23:01 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.13 | 3 | 2 | 43 |
| Adam Fox D | 22:22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 4 | 44 |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 70 |
| Sean Durzi D | 21:10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 65 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 20:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| J.T. Miller C | 20:19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
| Gabe Perreault R | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 19:23 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.65 | 2 | 0 | 60 |
| Noah Laba C | 17:45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 49 |
| Will Cuylle L | 16:59 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 11 | 0 | 50 |
| Tye Kartye L | 16:21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 68 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev R | 15:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Braden Schneider D | 15:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Alberts Smits D | 11:55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 7:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Matt Rempe C | 3:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| Cole Beaudoin C | 3:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute