Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, TOR–UTA
- 2.8–2.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- UTA share of xG
- 50.1%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–28
- TOR–UTA
- Pre-game model
- UTA 71%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Mammoth edged the Maple Leafs 5-4. Expected goals had it close, 2.8 to 2.8. The Mammoth scored three straight at one stage. The Maple Leafs scored two on the power play and still lost. Auston Matthews has a point in 5 straight games. Kirill Marchenko has a point in 5 straight games.
- Auston MatthewsStreak
Auston Matthews has a point in 5 straight games. He has 5 goals this season. He played 20:12 and had four shots on goal. The Maple Leafs fell 5-4 to the Mammoth.
- Kirill MarchenkoStreak
Kirill Marchenko has a point in 5 straight games. He has 6 points in 7 games this season. The Maple Leafs fell 5-4 to the Mammoth.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
9 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 24:39 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 36 |
| William Nylander R | 21:49 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Auston Matthews C | 20:12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 88 |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 18:41 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 77 |
| Jake McCabe D | 18:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 32 |
| John Tavares C | 18:03 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 17:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 41 |
| Jack Roslovic C | 17:36 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 65 |
| Gavin McKenna L | 17:08 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Easton Cowan R | 16:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| Troy Stecher D | 16:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 43 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 16:09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 59 |
| Colton Sissons C | 15:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| Nick Paul L | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| Teddy Blueger C | 11:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Nick Blankenburg D | 11:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Brandon Duhaime L | 9:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
| Marshall Rifai D | 9:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 23:39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 22:14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 3 | 4 | 52 |
| John Marino D | 20:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 92 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 20:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 91 |
| Logan Cooley C | 18:47 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 16:53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 16:52 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 73 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 15:55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Andrew Peeke D | 15:29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Clayton Keller R | 15:27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 15:19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 86 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 15:13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 79 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 14:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 14:00 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 78 |
| Anders Lee L | 13:15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 98 |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 12:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Jack McBain C | 10:24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 80 |
| Daniil But L | 10:00 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 79 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute