GRIT & GF
Kirill Marchenko

Toronto Maple Leafs, Right wing

Kirill Marchenko

  • Two-way
  • Playmaker
  • Play-driver
Points, 2026–27
10
4 G, 6 A in 10 GP
Individual xG
3.8
4 goals from it
Ice time per game
18:36
27 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5
59.3
share of chances while he's on

Kirill Marchenko has 4 goals and 6 assists (10 points) in 10 games for the Toronto Maple Leafs in 2026–27, with 27 shots on goal and 18:36 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2026–27 is 77.7 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

10 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

77.7050100
Rated above 67% of forwards
Goals above average
+1.6
Wins
+0.26
Physicality28thGF60thIntimidation87thChemistry98thClutch23th

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to +0.36, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 66.9% of 402 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

Chemistry

+1.77 SD · 98th percentile · weight 13% · +0.9 goals

How much his linemates' attack improves with him, measured teammate by teammate (with or without you), at 5-on-5.

  • Linemates' xGF liftper 60Teammates' expected goals per 60 with him minus without him, weighted by shared time.0.4198th pct
  • Shared minutes measuredminutesHow much evidence the chemistry number rests on.24999th pct

Percentiles are against 402 rated forwards in 2026-27, on 136 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

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Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

  1. vs BUF

    Thursday, October 15

    Hat trick

    Hat trick for Kirill Marchenko. That makes 6 straight games with a point. That was his fourth goal of the season. The Maple Leafs lost 5-4 to the Sabres in overtime.

  2. at UTA

    Tuesday, October 13

    Streak

    Kirill Marchenko has a point in 5 straight games. He has 6 points in 7 games this season. The Maple Leafs fell 5-4 to the Mammoth.

  3. at VGK

    Thursday, October 8

    Volume

    Kirill Marchenko had 10 shot attempts. Three reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 6.0. The Maple Leafs fell 4-3 to the Golden Knights in a shootout.

  4. at MTL

    Saturday, April 11

    Volume

    Kirill Marchenko had 11 shot attempts. Four reached the net and one went in. His average this season was 5.8. His goal stood up as the winner. It finished 5-2 for the Blue Jackets.

  5. at TBL

    Tuesday, March 10

    Streak

    Kirill Marchenko has a point in 6 straight games. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 24 goals this season. It finished 5-2 for the Blue Jackets.

  6. vs LAK

    Monday, March 9

    Streak

    Kirill Marchenko has a point in 5 straight games. He has 23 goals this season. The Blue Jackets lost 5-4 to the Kings in overtime.

  7. vs NSH

    Tuesday, March 3

    Volume

    Kirill Marchenko had 10 shot attempts. One got through to the goalie, and none went in. He came in averaging 6.1 attempts a game. It finished 3-2 for the Blue Jackets.

  8. at NYR

    Monday, March 2

    Big night

    Kirill Marchenko had three points, two goals and one assist. He also scored the overtime winner. The Blue Jackets beat the Rangers 5-4 in overtime.

Player card

Percentile among 378 forwards with enough games this season. 50 is the median.

Scoring

  • Ice time per game18:36
    82
  • Points per 603.23
    87
  • Goals per 601.29
    76
  • Individual xG per 601.21
    81
  • Shots per 608.7
    84

5-on-5 play

  • xG for per 60, on ice3.08
    82
  • xG against per 60, on ice2.12
    74
  • xGF%59.3%
    85

Physical

  • Hits per 604.2
    50
  • Blocks per 600.6
    7
  • Penalty minutes per 602.6
    26

Skating and shooting

NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, 2026–27. Percentiles are the league's, against all skaters.

Skating

  • Top speed22.6 mph
    85
  • Bursts over 20 mph44
    99
  • Distance skated30 mi
    96

Shooting

  • Hardest shot83.1 mph
    66
  • Shots on goal27
    94
  • Shooting %14.8%
    57

Zone time

  • Offensive zone time46.0%
    85
  • Offensive zone time, even strength41.2%
    53

Who he plays with

His most-used linemates at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

LinematesGamesTOIShot attemptsxGGoalsxG share
Jack Roslovic, Auston Matthews860:2170–383.8–1.32–274%
Nick Paul, William Nylander611:1313–100.9–0.70–055%
John Tavares, Nick Paul19:154–110.1–0.71–114%
Nick Paul, Easton Cowan58:438–90.6–0.30–164%
John Tavares, Easton Cowan35:575–80.1–0.30–024%
William Nylander, Auston Matthews75:294–30.4–0.10–080%
Teddy Blueger, Nick Paul13:050–20.0–0.00–00%
John Tavares, Jack Roslovic52:221–30.0–0.00–072%

Where he shoots from

His unblocked shots this season, attacking right. 4 goals from 40 attempts.

GoalShot or miss

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal
0.000.250.500.75
03-2810-19

By season

SeasonGPGAPSOGixGTOI/GPHitsBlkxGF% 5v5
2026–27104610273.818:3613259.3
2025–267627406721826.518:57614352.7
2024–257931437420722.818:35554052.3
2023–247823194219318.916:25554345.7

Last 20 games

DateTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkPIM
2026-10-1917:210120.32100
2026-10-1716:450050.52000
2026-10-1518:363030.49300
2026-10-1318:410120.29000
2026-10-1016:530100.00102
2026-10-0818:200130.33000
2026-10-0621:350130.54010
2026-10-0319:261020.22214
2026-09-3018:160030.31402
2026-09-2920:080140.74200
2026-04-1419:000040.48000
2026-04-1222:280030.48500
2026-04-1117:121140.67110
2026-04-0921:580020.11000
2026-04-0724:490130.30210
2026-04-0416:140100.05000
2026-04-0216:150010.21000
2026-03-3118:201150.69000
2026-03-2922:310210.15120
2026-03-2820:500040.33100