Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Expected goals, STL–NSH
- 2.0–3.0
- all situations, empty nets out
- NSH share of xG
- 60.0%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–24
- STL–NSH
- Pre-game model
- NSH 44%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Predators won 5-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Blues 3.0 to 2.0 in expected goals. The Predators scored three straight at one stage. Jayden Struble threw 8 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. Ryan O'Reilly has scored in 3 straight games.
- Jayden StrublePhysical
Jayden Struble threw 8 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. He played 19:36, about 5 minutes over his average. The Predators beat the Blues 5-2.
- Ryan O'ReillyStreak
Ryan O'Reilly has scored in 3 straight games. He has 4 goals this season. He played 20:34 and had four shots on goal. The Predators beat the Blues 5-2.
- Adam EdstromPhysical
Adam Edstrom finished 8 checks. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his fourth goal of the season. The Predators beat the Blues 5-2.
- Mason McTavishStreak
Mason McTavish has a point in 6 straight games. He has 9 points in 8 games this season. The Blues lost 5-2 to the Predators.
- Philip BrobergDrought over
Philip Broberg scored for the first time in 16 games. He also had 7 shot attempts against an average of 3.0. The Blues lost 5-2 to the Predators.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
7 goals from 75 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
St Louis Blues
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Broberg D | 25:10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| Robert Thomas C | 22:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
| Cam Fowler D | 19:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 19:41 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Dylan Holloway L | 19:33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Mason McTavish C | 18:36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 18:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 35 |
| Connor McMichael L | 18:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Jonatan Berggren R | 18:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 49 |
| Colton Parayko D | 17:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Jake Neighbours L | 16:48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| Pius Suter C | 14:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Theo Lindstein D | 13:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 12:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 56 |
| Justin Barron D | 12:19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 56 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 10:34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 75 |
| Adam Jiricek D | 10:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 65 |
| Dylan Peterson C | 9:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 53 |
Nashville Predators
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi D | 24:36 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 81 |
| Adam Wilsby D | 22:06 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 81 |
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 20:34 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 | 1 | 70 |
| Jayden Struble D | 19:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 8 | 3 | 41 |
| Filip Forsberg L | 19:14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 67 |
| Jack Drury C | 18:32 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.71 | 1 | 1 | 58 |
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 18:24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 55 |
| Nicolas Hague D | 18:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 41 |
| Brady Skjei D | 17:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Steven Stamkos C | 17:38 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 67 |
| Adam Edstrom C | 17:25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 8 | 1 | 58 |
| Nick Perbix D | 16:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Jonathan Marchessault R | 15:37 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Ross Colton C | 11:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Reid Schaefer L | 9:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Matthew Wood R | 9:42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 75 |
| Nils Hoglander L | 9:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 84 |
| Vitali Pinchuk C | 4:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute