Monday, October 19, 2026
- Expected goals, SJS–TOR
- 3.7–3.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 51.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 31–32
- SJS–TOR
- Pre-game model
- TOR 49%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Maple Leafs beat the Sharks 3-1. Expected goals had it close, 3.9 to 3.7. The Maple Leafs scored three straight at one stage. It was tied 1-1 going into the third. Two of the Maple Leafs' goals came on the power play. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. Three points for Auston Matthews: one goal and two assists. Sergei Bobrovsky saved 2.7 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots.
- Auston MatthewsBig night
Three points for Auston Matthews: one goal and two assists. He has 7 goals this season. He played 20:57 and had three shots on goal. The Maple Leafs beat the Sharks 3-1.
- Sergei BobrovskyStole one
Sergei Bobrovsky saved 2.7 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 30 of 31. The Maple Leafs beat the Sharks 3-1.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 103 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
San Jose Sharks
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darnell Nurse D | 23:53 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 39 |
| Will Smith C | 22:03 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | 2 | 0 | 72 |
| Macklin Celebrini C | 21:59 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 65 |
| Michael Kesselring D | 21:23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 61 |
| Jacob Trouba D | 20:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 2 | 65 |
| Sam Dickinson D | 18:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 16:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Igor Chernyshov L | 15:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 79 |
| Mason Marchment L | 15:52 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.61 | 1 | 0 | 69 |
| Dmitry Orlov D | 15:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 54 |
| Michael Misa C | 14:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Ivar Stenberg L | 14:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Collin Graf R | 14:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 36 |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 13:36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 13:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 42 |
| Luca Cagnoni D | 12:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 65 |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 8:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 8:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 63 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 26:39 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 33 |
| Jake McCabe D | 23:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 5 | 28 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 21:05 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 58 |
| Auston Matthews C | 20:57 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
| William Nylander R | 20:47 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Troy Stecher D | 20:13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Nick Paul L | 18:52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.03 | 2 | 2 | 52 |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 17:21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 61 |
| Colton Sissons C | 16:15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Easton Cowan R | 15:19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Jack Roslovic C | 15:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 31 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 14:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
| Teddy Blueger C | 11:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| Gavin McKenna L | 11:30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Brandon Duhaime L | 10:42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Nick Blankenburg D | 10:16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 56 |
| Vinni Lettieri C | 9:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| Zack MacEwen R | 5:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 45 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute