GRIT & GF

Monday, October 13, 2025

Detroit Red Wings

Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected goals, DET–TOR
2.0–3.5
all situations, empty nets out
TOR share of xG
63.4%
50% is even
Shots on goal
15–40
DET–TOR
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Maple Leafs created more, 3.5 expected goals to 2.0, and lost 3-2 to the Red Wings. Auston Matthews had 14 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Calle Jarnkrok has scored in 3 straight games. The Maple Leafs outshot the Red Wings 40-15.

  • Auston Matthews had 14 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Eight got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 8.0. The Maple Leafs fell 3-2 to the Red Wings.

  • Calle Jarnkrok has scored in 3 straight games. He has 3 goals this season. He played 12:04 and had three shots on goal. The Maple Leafs fell 3-2 to the Red Wings.

  • Mason AppletonDrought over

    Mason Appleton scored for the first time in 23 games. His goal with under five minutes left was the winner. It finished 3-2 for the Red Wings.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

DETTOR

Where the shots came from

5 goals from 82 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← DET shootingTOR shooting →

Detroit Red Wings

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Moritz Seider D26:220010.031132
Axel Sandin-Pellikka D22:120000.050316
Ben Chiarot D21:590100.012335
J.T. Compher L20:310000.070041
Simon Edvinsson D20:170000.030227
Dylan Larkin C18:391030.621015
Alex DeBrincat R18:350140.200228
Patrick Kane R17:470010.170119
Marco Kasper C16:020000.062022
Emmitt Finnie C15:540100.006121
Andrew Copp C14:580110.010132
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R13:420000.00318
Mason Appleton C13:361020.120039
Jacob Bernard-Docker D12:170010.171045
Albert Johansson D12:120010.011142
Michael Rasmussen C11:030000.171362
James van Riemsdyk L10:091010.250164
Lucas Raymond L7:580100.020024

Toronto Maple Leafs

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Auston Matthews C22:340180.932378
Matthew Knies L22:311130.262178
Morgan Rielly D22:210040.171050
Jake McCabe D21:410000.010083
William Nylander R19:420020.120155
Chris Tanev D19:000000.001186
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D18:460030.101178
Simon Benoit D17:250020.183178
Brandon Carlo D17:120020.111151
John Tavares C16:300010.342153
Easton Cowan R14:050010.273072
Bobby McMann C13:300150.343171
Max Domi C12:500000.000063
Matias Maccelli L12:220020.050146
Nicolas Roy C12:120010.091069
Calle Jarnkrok C12:041030.261077
Dakota Joshua C9:180010.130070
Nick Robertson L8:400020.101068

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.