Monday, December 29, 2025
- Expected goals, BUF–STL
- 3.3–1.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- STL share of xG
- 32.9%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 34–18
- BUF–STL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Sabres beat the Blues 4-2, and the chances agreed: 3.4 expected goals to 1.6. Zach Benson scored the winner. Alex Lyon made 16 saves for the Sabres. Joel Hofer stopped 30 of 33 for the Blues. The Sabres outshot the Blues 34-18.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
BUFSTL
0204060
BUF 52STL 27
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 79 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← BUF shootingSTL shooting →
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Power D | 23:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 77 |
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 23:40 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 61 |
| Bowen Byram D | 22:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 70 |
| Mattias Samuelsson D | 22:14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 58 |
| Tage Thompson C | 19:12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 60 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 17:09 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 75 |
| Josh Doan R | 17:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.69 | 1 | 1 | 59 |
| Josh Norris C | 16:26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 78 |
| Zach Benson L | 15:39 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 83 |
| Michael Kesselring D | 15:33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 78 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 14:35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 5 | 2 | 42 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 14:12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Jack Quinn R | 14:02 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 79 |
| Alex Tuch R | 13:54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 55 |
| Josh Dunne C | 13:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 42 |
| Noah Ostlund C | 12:57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Jordan Greenway L | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 64 |
| Zach Metsa D | 10:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
St Louis Blues
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Broberg D | 25:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Colton Parayko D | 24:58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Justin Faulk D | 23:27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
| Cam Fowler D | 22:25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Robert Thomas C | 18:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 43 |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 17:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 15:58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:51 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 15:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| Jake Neighbours L | 15:33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6 | 1 | 44 |
| Mathieu Joseph R | 14:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2 | 3 | 33 |
| Otto Stenberg C | 14:02 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| Tyler Tucker D | 13:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 13:24 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 4 | 1 | 52 |
| Jordan Kyrou R | 13:12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 33 |
| Robby Fabbri C | 11:52 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 4 | 1 | 39 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 10:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Logan Mailloux D | 8:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.