Monday, January 12, 2026
Final (OT)
- Expected goals, TOR–COL
- 2.3–3.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- COL share of xG
- 60.3%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 32–34
- TOR–COL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Avalanche created more, 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, and lost 4-3 in overtime to the Maple Leafs. Three points for Nathan MacKinnon: three assists. William Nylander has scored in 4 straight games.
- Nathan MacKinnonBig night
Three points for Nathan MacKinnon: three assists. He has 81 points in 45 games this season. The Avalanche lost 4-3 to the Maple Leafs in overtime.
- William NylanderStreak
William Nylander has scored in 4 straight games. He also scored the overtime winner. That was his 16th goal of the season. It finished 4-3 for the Maple Leafs in overtime.
- Sam MalinskiIce time
Sam Malinski played 22:09, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 23 points in 45 games this season. The Avalanche lost 4-3 to the Maple Leafs in overtime.
- Martin NecasVolume
Martin Necas had 9 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and one went in. His average this season was 4.9. The Avalanche fell 4-3 to the Maple Leafs in overtime.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
7 goals from 88 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews C | 25:29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
| Jake McCabe D | 22:16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 4 | 32 |
| William Nylander R | 21:29 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
| Matthew Knies L | 21:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 20:53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 20:45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 40 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 5 | 38 |
| John Tavares C | 19:26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Troy Stecher D | 18:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Bobby McMann C | 18:06 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 48 |
| Max Domi C | 17:36 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 17:29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 54 |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 12:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 33 |
| Scott Laughton C | 11:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 9:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 35 |
| Nick Robertson L | 1:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar D | 27:22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 63 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 24:40 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 77 |
| Martin Necas C | 22:31 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.81 | 1 | 1 | 76 |
| Brock Nelson C | 22:09 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.80 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Sam Malinski D | 22:09 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 2 | 60 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 21:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 63 |
| Samuel Girard D | 21:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Brent Burns D | 20:42 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 74 |
| Josh Manson D | 20:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 75 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 18:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 70 |
| Jack Drury C | 15:58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 58 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 15:24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Ross Colton C | 15:03 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.54 | 4 | 0 | 68 |
| Parker Kelly C | 14:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 58 |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 9:08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 5:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
| Ivan Ivan C | 5:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 4:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute