Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Final (SO)
- Expected goals, TBL–PIT
- 2.8–3.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- PIT share of xG
- 58.4%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 31–27
- TBL–PIT
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Penguins 2-1 in a shootout while losing the expected-goals count 2.8 to 3.9. Andrei Vasilevskiy saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. Bryan Rust generated 1.4 expected goals on six shots and did not score.
- Andrei VasilevskiyStole one
Andrei Vasilevskiy saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 26 of 27. It finished 2-1 for the Lightning in a shootout.
- Bryan RustSnakebit
Bryan Rust generated 1.4 expected goals on six shots and did not score. He has 36 points in 41 games this season. The Penguins fell 2-1 to the Lightning in a shootout.
- Brett KulakIce time
Brett Kulak played 25:56, about 8 minutes more than his average this season. He has 4 points in 45 games this season. The Penguins lost 2-1 to the Lightning in a shootout.
- Nikita KucherovIce time
Nikita Kucherov played 26:22, about 7 minutes more than his average this season. He has 67 points in 42 games this season. It finished 2-1 for the Lightning in a shootout.
- Darren RaddyshIce time
Darren Raddysh played 28:00, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 39 points in 39 games this season. The Lightning beat the Penguins 2-1 in a shootout.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
2 goals from 88 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 28:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 68 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 26:22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| J.J. Moser D | 25:54 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 24:39 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 22:38 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 62 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 21:06 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 48 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 18:48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Max Crozier D | 15:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Nick Paul L | 15:41 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 15:28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 43 |
| Erik Cernak D | 14:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 13:44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Declan Carlile D | 12:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 12:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 11:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| Dominic James C | 10:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 10:07 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Jack Finley C | 6:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Kulak D | 25:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 44 |
| Kris Letang D | 25:13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 3 | 1 | 58 |
| Sidney Crosby C | 22:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 38 |
| Bryan Rust R | 22:14 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.32 | 0 | 2 | 37 |
| Rickard Rakell R | 21:57 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.50 | 0 | 3 | 42 |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 20:20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 83 |
| Jack St. Ivany D | 19:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 47 |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 18:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
| Ryan Shea D | 16:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 55 |
| Tommy Novak C | 15:38 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 71 |
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Connor Clifton D | 13:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Connor Dewar C | 13:06 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 41 |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 13:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 75 |
| Noel Acciari C | 12:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 41 |
| Ben Kindel C | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Anthony Mantha R | 10:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Justin Brazeau R | 9:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 33 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute