Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Expected goals, TBL–DAL
- 3.0–2.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- DAL share of xG
- 45.8%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–20
- TBL–DAL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Stars 4-1 in a game the chances had about even, 3.0 expected goals to 2.5. Brandon Hagel scored the winner. Jake Guentzel had one goal and one assist.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TBLDAL
0204060
TBL 41DAL 26
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 67 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingDAL shooting →
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 22:27 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | 2 | 2 | 48 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 22:20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 80 |
| J.J. Moser D | 21:24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 40 |
| Max Crozier D | 20:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 60 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 18:03 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 17:56 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 1 | 99 |
| Erik Cernak D | 16:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 76 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:51 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 16:48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.99 | 0 | 2 | 52 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 15:58 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 1 | 58 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.88 | 0 | 2 | 40 |
| Nick Paul L | 14:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 40 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 14:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Declan Carlile D | 13:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 63 |
| Jack Finley C | 11:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 11:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 80 |
| Dominic James C | 11:14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 85 |
Dallas Stars
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen D | 24:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Thomas Harley D | 23:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 58 |
| Esa Lindell D | 23:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| Jason Robertson L | 19:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 18:46 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 18:33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 2 | 35 |
| Matt Duchene C | 18:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Roope Hintz C | 17:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
| Sam Steel C | 17:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 14:12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Radek Faksa C | 13:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| Kyle Capobianco D | 12:23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Mavrik Bourque C | 11:57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 75 |
| Jamie Benn L | 11:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| Colin Blackwell C | 11:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Justin Hryckowian C | 11:15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 77 |
| Oskar Bäck C | 10:52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.