Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Final (OT)
- Expected goals, DET–TOR
- 3.2–4.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 58.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 41–31
- DET–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime while losing the expected-goals count 3.2 to 4.3. Dylan Larkin scored the overtime winner. Alex DeBrincat had 12 shot attempts.
- Dylan LarkinOvertime winner
Dylan Larkin scored the overtime winner. He has 25 goals this season. He played 19:17 and had five shots on goal. It finished 2-1 for the Red Wings in overtime.
- Alex DeBrincatVolume
Alex DeBrincat had 12 shot attempts. Six reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 6.9 attempts a game. It finished 2-1 for the Red Wings in overtime.
- John GibsonStole one
John Gibson saved 3.3 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 30 of 31. It finished 2-1 for the Red Wings in overtime.
- Troy StecherIce time
Troy Stecher played 25:28, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 10 points in 37 games this season. The Maple Leafs lost 2-1 to the Red Wings in overtime.
- Jake McCabeIce time
Jake McCabe played 28:09, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 17 points in 48 games this season. The Maple Leafs fell 2-1 to the Red Wings in overtime.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
3 goals from 107 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Detroit Red Wings
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider D | 27:46 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Simon Edvinsson D | 26:45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 42 |
| Ben Chiarot D | 21:49 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Andrew Copp C | 20:40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Dylan Larkin C | 19:17 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 33 |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:55 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 | 60 |
| Lucas Raymond L | 17:55 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
| Patrick Kane R | 17:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 61 |
| Albert Johansson D | 17:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 60 |
| Marco Kasper C | 16:53 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 3 | 35 |
| Jacob Bernard-Docker D | 15:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 56 |
| Michael Rasmussen C | 14:33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 3 | 1 | 78 |
| Mason Appleton C | 13:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 78 |
| J.T. Compher L | 13:20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Elmer Soderblom L | 13:07 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 78 |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 11:48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 9:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Emmitt Finnie C | 8:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 28:09 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 2 | 1 | 61 |
| Troy Stecher D | 25:28 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 46 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 24:32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 1 | 3 | 67 |
| Auston Matthews C | 22:39 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.68 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 3 | 64 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
| Simon Benoit D | 18:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 5 | 0 | 34 |
| John Tavares C | 17:45 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.12 | 0 | 2 | 73 |
| Matthew Knies L | 17:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 69 |
| Max Domi C | 15:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 2 | 0 | 45 |
| Bobby McMann C | 14:34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 2 | 49 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 14:09 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 42 |
| Nick Robertson L | 13:16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 66 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 12:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 70 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 10:55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 44 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 1:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute