Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Expected goals, BUF–TBL
- 4.4–3.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 43.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 35–38
- BUF–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Sabres won 6-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Lightning 4.3 to 3.5 in expected goals. Rasmus Dahlin had three points, one goal and two assists. Victor Hedman scored for the first time in 32 games.
- Rasmus DahlinBig night
Rasmus Dahlin had three points, one goal and two assists. He has 12 goals this season. He played 24:32 and had two shots on goal. It finished 6-2 for the Sabres.
- Victor HedmanDrought over
Victor Hedman scored for the first time in 32 games. He has 1 goal this season. He played 16:53 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning fell 6-2 to the Sabres.
- Brandon HagelVolume
Brandon Hagel had 11 shot attempts. Eight got through to the goalie, and none went in. He came in averaging 6.4 attempts a game. The Lightning lost 6-2 to the Sabres.
- Tage ThompsonStreak
Tage Thompson has a point in 7 straight games. He has 32 goals this season. He played 16:00 and had six shots on goal. The Sabres beat the Lightning 6-2.
- Josh NorrisTwo goals
Josh Norris had two goals. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his eighth goal of the season. It finished 6-2 for the Sabres.
- Zach MetsaDrought over
Zach Metsa scored for the first time in 16 games. That was his second goal of the season. He played 13:08 and had three shots on goal. It finished 6-2 for the Sabres.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
8 goals from 101 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 24:32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Mattias Samuelsson D | 24:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 44 |
| Bowen Byram D | 22:45 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 49 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 20:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 54 |
| Owen Power D | 19:59 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Alex Tuch R | 18:15 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.73 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| Josh Doan R | 16:08 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 55 |
| Tage Thompson C | 16:00 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
| Josh Norris C | 15:03 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Noah Ostlund C | 14:46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 27 |
| Jack Quinn R | 14:21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Zach Benson L | 13:39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Zach Metsa D | 13:08 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
| Tyson Kozak C | 13:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 31 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 12:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Jason Zucker L | 12:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 10:59 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 5 | 0 | 58 |
| Michael Kesselring D | 8:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 21:18 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 47 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 21:05 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.77 | 0 | 1 | 55 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| Brayden Point C | 17:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 58 |
| Victor Hedman D | 16:53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 53 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 16:45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 52 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 16:24 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 67 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 16:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 15:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 15:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 69 |
| J.J. Moser D | 15:46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 37 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 15:03 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 3 | 0 | 39 |
| Erik Cernak D | 14:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 42 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 13:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| Dominic James C | 13:06 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 13:02 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 8:17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 75 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute