GRIT & GF

Thursday, October 8, 2026

Toronto Maple Leafs

Vegas Golden Knights

Final (SO)

Expected goals, TOR–VGK
2.7–4.6
all situations, empty nets out
VGK share of xG
63.0%
50% is even
Shots on goal
24–43
TOR–VGK
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Golden Knights beat the Maple Leafs 4-3 in a shootout, and the chances agreed: 4.6 expected goals to 2.6. The Maple Leafs scored three straight at one stage. The Golden Knights came back from three goals down. Sergei Bobrovsky made 40 saves on 43 shots. Kirill Marchenko had 10 shot attempts. The Golden Knights outshot the Maple Leafs 43-24.

  • Sergei Bobrovsky made 40 saves on 43 shots. That was 1.6 goals better than an average goalie would do against the same chances. The Maple Leafs lost 4-3 to the Golden Knights in a shootout.

  • Kirill Marchenko had 10 shot attempts. Three reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 6.0. The Maple Leafs fell 4-3 to the Golden Knights in a shootout.

  • Jack Eichel has a point in 5 straight games. He has 3 goals this season. It finished 4-3 for the Golden Knights in a shootout.

  • Mark Stone had 9 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and one went in. His average this season was 3.0. It finished 4-3 for the Golden Knights in a shootout.

  • Mitch Marner had 9 shot attempts. Five reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 5.0 attempts a game. It finished 4-3 for the Golden Knights in a shootout.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TORVGK

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 100 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TOR shootingVGK shooting →

Toronto Maple Leafs

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D24:450110.051224
Jake McCabe D23:320010.041244
Chris Tanev D22:100100.000422
Auston Matthews C21:320120.092027
Morgan Rielly D20:570010.130225
William Nylander R20:310050.540027
Kirill Marchenko R18:200130.330029
Jack Roslovic C17:321030.470025
Nick Paul L17:051020.361346
Troy Stecher D16:350010.012065
Colton Sissons C15:470000.002254
John Tavares C15:260000.252124
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D15:220000.021058
Gavin McKenna L14:080110.030054
Easton Cowan R14:001040.361141
Brandon Duhaime L12:070000.00010
Teddy Blueger C11:020000.000159
Bo Groulx C6:090000.000036

Vegas Golden Knights

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Jack Eichel C26:381160.691288
Mitch Marner R24:100150.521063
Mark Stone R23:571050.753283
Noah Hanifin D21:480010.040378
Shea Theodore D20:490030.090368
William Karlsson C18:550110.020065
Rasmus Andersson D18:420030.191258
Ivan Barbashev L18:340140.213089
Brayden McNabb D18:100010.062064
Parker Wotherspoon D17:000020.101257
Jeremy Lauzon D15:590020.035162
Trevor Connelly L15:260030.570054
Brett Howden C15:181030.412160
Tomas Hertl C14:410030.751132
Braeden Bowman R13:360000.000050
Nic Dowd C11:150000.002130
Marc Gatcomb C10:080010.141066
Raphael Lavoie C8:140000.004027

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.