Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Expected goals, VAN–TBL
- 1.8–3.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 66.0%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 14–35
- VAN–TBL
- Pre-game model
- TBL 81%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Lightning beat the Canucks 4-2, and the chances agreed: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8. The Lightning scored four straight at one stage. Level at 2 after two, it was settled in the third. Both power plays scored, one for the Lightning and one for the Canucks. The Lightning came back from two goals down. Nikita Kucherov had 11 shot attempts.
- Nikita KucherovVolume
Nikita Kucherov had 11 shot attempts. Seven reached the net and two went in. He came in averaging 6.6 attempts a game. The Lightning beat the Canucks 4-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 83 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Vancouver Canucks
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Hronek D | 26:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 5 | 18 |
| Elias Pettersson D | 21:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| Brock Boeser R | 21:32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Tom Willander D | 20:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Filip Chytil C | 20:31 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Zeev Buium D | 18:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 52 |
| Elias Pettersson C | 18:00 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| Drew O'Connor L | 17:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
| Linus Karlsson C | 16:49 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 33 |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Paul Cotter L | 15:33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | 13:06 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Liam Ohgren L | 12:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 35 |
| Arshdeep Bains L | 11:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 61 |
| Max Sasson C | 11:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 58 |
| Brendan Gallagher R | 10:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 52 |
| Victor Mancini D | 10:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 58 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Cernak D | 21:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.89 | 0 | 1 | 61 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:40 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1.43 | 0 | 0 | 73 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 20:10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 | 61 |
| J.J. Moser D | 20:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 68 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 19:06 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 81 |
| John Carlson D | 18:23 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 68 |
| Brayden Point C | 17:06 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 95 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 17:04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 77 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 16:55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 5 | 88 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 16:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 4 | 1 | 79 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 15:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 85 |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 15:39 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:00 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.96 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 13:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 50 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 64 |
| Victor Hedman D | 12:36 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 42 |
| Conor Geekie C | 11:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Dominic James C | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute