GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Maddox DagenaisC, 18. Volume shooter, Big frameQuébec RempartsQMJHLSTL#16, 202681.00−17%85%52%29%First-liner
2Alexis JosephC, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+17%64%52%40%First-liner
3Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
4Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
5Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
6Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
7Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
8Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
9Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
10Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
11Ilya KolmakovLW, 17. Playmaker, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.00−10%39%16%7%Tweener
12Jayden TillmanD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–60.33+12%40%25%7%Long shot?
13Enzo RoyD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%29%25%7%Long shot?
14Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
15James ScantleburyC, 17. Running hot, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.90−10%33%15%4%Tweener?
16Romain LitalienRW, 18. Heavy, SteadyCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–60.50+8%29%14%6%AHLer
17Benjamin VeitchLW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–131.31+4%32%12%6%AHLer
18Loïk GariépyLW, 17. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.64−7%31%10%6%AHLer
19Mark PritchinD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–110.36+12%25%17%5%AHLer?
20Zakary Horvat-EdouardC, 17. Rising, UndersizedGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–100.50+14%30%12%8%AHLer
21Declan WottonLW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–280.21+44%33%10%6%AHLer?
22Justin BeaulieuD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.82−22%28%15%2%AHLer
23Olivers MurnieksC, 18. Steady, HonestSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–310.65+4%27%10%5%AHLer?
24Jamie GlanceRW, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–111.36+19%16%13%5%AHLer?
25Thomas RousseauC, 18. Edgy, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–100.70−9%26%9%7%AHLer
26Matyas CuttaLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–90.56−21%30%12%7%Long shot?
27Julien BergeronLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–80.25029%13%3%Long shot?
28Chad LygitsakosC, 18. Rising, Running hotShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–101.80+18%28%9%2%AHLer
29Xavier VilleneuveD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–371.03−15%28%9%1%AHLer
30Enzo LottinRW, 18. Undersized, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–490.86+8%27%8%3%AHLer
31Louis Felix BourqueR, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHLOTT#91, 202670.71+41%25%8%3%AHLer
32Nathan FrostD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–90.33+2%25%15%2%Long shot?
33Darcy TerglavC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–110.82−2%19%6%6%AHLer?
34Antoine ProvencherC, 17. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–100.40+5%29%10%2%AHLer
35Antoine St-LaurentD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.83+15%25%10%2%AHLer
36Dylan DumontRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.55+44%25%9%3%AHLer
37William DubéD, 17. Playmaker, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–91.11+1%28%8%4%Long shot?
38Damien LeducC, 16. Young for the league, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–80.38−13%27%11%2%Long shot?
39Justin GagnonRW, 16. Young for the league, Big frameRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–100.70−22%27%9%4%Long shot?
40Maxim DubéLW, 18. Rising, Carrying a teamGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–101.20+26%24%7%2%AHLer
41Bryce LazareC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.27+44%19%10%4%AHLer?
42Nolann HérouxRW, 17. Rising, UndersizedVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–121.17−10%21%9%3%AHLer
43Philippe VeilleuxLW, 19. Volume shooter, RisingVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–122.25022%7%<1%AHLer
44Dylan RozziLW, 18. Carrying a team, Running hotSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+19%22%6%2%AHLer
45Artem GlukhikhC, 16. Young for the league, UndersizedGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–110.18+11%16%11%2%Long shot?
46Caiden PellegrinoC, 17. Steady, HonestRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–111.55−16%16%7%2%AHLer?
47Elijah SyllaLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–90.33+36%20%5%5%AHLer?
48Louis-Étienne HalleyRW, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–110.91+20%19%5%3%AHLer
49Alex DesruisseauxLW, 17. Undersized, SteadyQuébec RempartsQMJHL–40.75−22%21%6%3%AHLer
50Paul SintschnigLW, 17. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–100.70+5%19%7%4%Long shot?
51Louis-François BélangerC, 18. Undersized, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–131.15+6%19%4%2%AHLer
52Liam ArmitRW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.36+44%19%5%4%AHLer
53Vladimir ShtyrkhunovD, 17. Volume shooter, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.90+6%25%4%2%Long shot?
54Korney KorneyevRW, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–91.11+21%19%4%1%AHLer
55Alexis GuévinLW, 17. Steady, HonestVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–51.00−9%19%6%3%Long shot?
56Johannes DobrovolnyC, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–100.60+44%19%4%<1%Long shot?
57Kasen WalshD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–60.33−3%19%8%4%Long shot?
58Nikita OvcharovRW, 18. Volume shooter, RisingQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.20−17%20%5%2%AHLer
59Max BrienC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.73−21%15%7%3%Long shot?
60Carter MeyerC, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerQuébec RempartsQMJHL–101.20−19%18%6%2%Long shot?
61Frédéric BergeronC, 17. Rising, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–81.13+7%21%6%1%Long shot
62Jayden PlouffeLW, 18. Volume shooter, EdgySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.10−7%20%4%1%AHLer
63Samuel RheaultLW, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.67+19%17%3%3%AHLer
64Malik TremblayRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–90.00+12%19%7%4%Long shot?
65Maxmilian MaresC, 17. Heavy, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–111.09−18%12%6%3%Long shot?
66Benjamin Cossette AyotteD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.75−14%20%3%1%AHLer
67Austin HoytC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–70.29+12%17%4%3%Long shot?
68Damian NorrisC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–100.10−3%17%9%2%Long shot?
69Julien NadeauLW, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–80.50−21%22%3%3%Long shot?
70Andrei MilyayevLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–80.38+15%22%4%3%Long shot?
71Matyas CancikC, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.73+12%12%6%2%Long shot?
72Thomas CharbonneauD, 17. Young for the league, RisingSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.45+12%16%8%2%Long shot
73Quinn NormanD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–130.08−3%17%9%1%Long shot
74Zack ArsenaultRW, 17. Rising, SteadyRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.73−20%18%5%3%AHLer
75Aslan TremblayC, 16. Young for the league, HeavyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–130.46+8%15%4%3%AHLer?
76Filip KovalcikD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.45+41%18%4%1%AHLer
77Lawrence WilliamsD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–90.22+10%18%7%3%Long shot?
78Peter LegostaevRW, 18. Steady, HonestGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–120.50+16%15%3%1%Long shot
79Sebastian TaligaLW, 17. Carrying a team, UndersizedDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–100.30+36%16%4%2%Long shot?
80Alexandre TailleferD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerQuébec RempartsQMJHL–91.44−19%18%3%1%AHLer
81Vincent BoutetD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.18−11%10%8%3%Long shot?
82Clément LandryD, 17. Young for the league, HeavyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–90.00+11%11%9%3%Long shot?
83Nathan QuinnC, 19. Volume shooter, SniperQuébec RempartsQMJHL–91.56−13%13%5%<1%AHLer
84Maxwell BrantonC, 17. Steady, HonestShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–70.29+1%12%8%1%Long shot
85Charles-Antoine ThériaultC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.42−15%14%3%1%Long shot?
86Alexis DesrochesRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–110.55−8%10%4%4%Long shot?
87Ilya KuzminykhC, 17. Sniper, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–100.80−7%17%3%<1%Long shot?
88Antoine RobichaudLW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–60.33+36%15%5%3%Long shot?
89Liam ArsenaultLW, 17. Undersized, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–90.56017%2%2%AHLer
90Thomas VerdonC, 21. Steady, HonestRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–641.48+9%16%5%<1%AHLer
91Xavier CormierD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–110.00+36%17%3%2%Long shot
92Carter FogartyRW, 18. Undersized, SteadyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL–330.73−3%12%3%<1%Long shot?
93Simon-Xavier CyrC, 18. Rising, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–100.50+16%14%3%2%Long shot
94Cameron MinellaD, 17. Young for the league, RisingHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–100.20015%5%2%Long shot
95Eliot FaucherD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.10013%7%2%Long shot?
96Blake GowanD, 18. Edgy, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–60.33+12%14%<1%<1%AHLer
97Cole RenaudRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.42+17%9%4%2%Long shot?
98Paulo Gualberto Jr.LW, 17. Undersized, SteadyHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.00013%5%<1%Long shot
99Félix LacerteRW, 20. Steady, HonestShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–621.39012%4%1%AHLer
100Adam KlausLW, 18. Steady, HonestCape Breton EaglesQMJHL–100.30+8%12%2%2%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.