GRIT & GF

Friday, October 17, 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning

Detroit Red Wings

Final (OT)

Expected goals, TBL–DET
3.0–2.9
all situations, empty nets out
DET share of xG
48.9%
50% is even
Shots on goal
32–31
TBL–DET
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Red Wings beat the Lightning 2-1 in overtime in a game the chances had about even, 3.0 expected goals to 3.1. J.J. Dylan Larkin scored the overtime winner. John Gibson made 31 saves for the Red Wings.

  • J.J. MoserDrought over

    J.J. Moser scored for the first time in 55 games. That was his first goal of the season. The Lightning lost 2-1 to the Red Wings in overtime.

  • Dylan LarkinOvertime winner

    Dylan Larkin scored the overtime winner. That makes 5 straight games with a point. That was his third goal of the season. It finished 2-1 for the Red Wings in overtime.

  • Jake Guentzel had 9 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 3.0. The Lightning lost 2-1 to the Red Wings in overtime.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLDET

Where the shots came from

3 goals from 97 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingDET shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Victor Hedman D26:120110.222163
Jake Guentzel C24:560050.540060
Brandon Hagel L24:110030.401163
Ryan McDonagh D22:160010.090243
Brayden Point C21:260030.091065
J.J. Moser D21:211020.071070
Erik Cernak D20:440010.031224
Anthony Cirelli C19:370010.110135
Darren Raddysh D15:560020.172054
Yanni Gourde C15:490000.001026
Gage Goncalves C15:060010.020426
Oliver Bjorkstrand R14:510030.141034
Pontus Holmberg R13:190000.031023
Conor Geekie C12:390110.013271
Emil Lilleberg D11:490010.173153
Mitchell Chaffee R10:180030.232166
Jack Finley C7:510030.551064
Curtis Douglas C6:270010.180066

Detroit Red Wings

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Moritz Seider D27:190030.123446
Simon Edvinsson D23:420000.120136
Dylan Larkin C23:121140.450027
Ben Chiarot D22:150030.081247
J.T. Compher L18:440110.200172
Emmitt Finnie C18:350030.316229
Alex DeBrincat R17:540000.000159
Patrick Kane R17:420020.211054
Axel Sandin-Pellikka D17:271020.060434
Albert Johansson D17:260010.011267
Mason Appleton C15:550100.071027
Marco Kasper C15:070010.194035
Andrew Copp C15:050010.001064
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R13:360040.225160
Michael Rasmussen C11:280020.252246
James van Riemsdyk L10:340030.340176
Jacob Bernard-Docker D10:070000.000171
Elmer Soderblom L8:400010.282142

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.