Friday, October 24, 2025
- Expected goals, TOR–BUF
- 2.8–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- BUF share of xG
- 48.1%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 34–30
- TOR–BUF
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Sabres beat the Maple Leafs 5-3 in a game the chances had about even, 2.7 expected goals to 2.8. Oliver Ekman-Larsson had 10 shot attempts. Mattias Samuelsson scored twice.
- Oliver Ekman-LarssonVolume
Oliver Ekman-Larsson had 10 shot attempts. Four reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 3.0 attempts a game. He played 25:50, about 6 minutes over his average. The Maple Leafs lost 5-3 to the Sabres.
- Mattias SamuelssonTwo goals
Mattias Samuelsson scored twice. It was his first goal in 16 games. His goal stood up as the winner. It finished 5-3 for the Sabres.
- William NylanderStreak
William Nylander has a point in 5 straight games. That was his third goal of the season. The Maple Leafs fell 5-3 to the Sabres.
- Jake McCabeShot blocker
Jake McCabe blocked 6 shots. He has 2 points in 8 games this season. He played 20:32 and had one shot on goal. The Maple Leafs fell 5-3 to the Sabres.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
8 goals from 90 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 25:50 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Auston Matthews C | 23:48 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 52 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 56 |
| Jake McCabe D | 20:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| John Tavares C | 19:16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 38 |
| Matthew Knies L | 19:03 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 2 | 48 |
| Bobby McMann C | 18:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 39 |
| William Nylander R | 17:39 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 57 |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 14:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Max Domi C | 14:16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Philippe Myers D | 14:05 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 47 |
| Dakota Mermis D | 13:12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Dakota Joshua C | 12:36 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 4 | 1 | 71 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:05 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 10:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 33 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 10:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattias Samuelsson D | 23:38 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 4 | 70 |
| Conor Timmins D | 23:37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 52 |
| Bowen Byram D | 21:25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 42 |
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 20:28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 46 |
| Zach Benson L | 20:25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 62 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 20:03 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 87 |
| Owen Power D | 20:02 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 56 |
| Alex Tuch R | 19:34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 5 | 77 |
| Tage Thompson C | 19:06 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.40 | 0 | 2 | 64 |
| Jiri Kulich C | 16:50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 62 |
| Jack Quinn R | 14:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 13:43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 39 |
| Jason Zucker L | 12:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Noah Ostlund C | 12:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 12:14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Josh Doan R | 11:57 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 86 |
| Zach Metsa D | 9:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Tyson Kozak C | 1:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute