Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Expected goals, CAR–TBL
- 1.9–3.8
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 65.9%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 22–29
- CAR–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Hurricanes 6-4, and the chances agreed: 3.7 expected goals to 2.0. The Lightning trailed by three at one point. Jake Guentzel had two goals. Ryan McDonagh had one goal and one assist.
- Jake GuentzelTwo goals
Jake Guentzel had two goals. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 17 goals this season. He played 19:19 and had five shots on goal. It finished 6-4 for the Lightning.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
CARTBL
0204060
CAR 35TBL 45
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
10 goals from 80 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← CAR shootingTBL shooting →
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller D | 21:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 21:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Jalen Chatfield D | 19:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| Alexander Nikishin D | 19:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 63 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 19:36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 23 |
| Jackson Blake R | 19:25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 18:12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 18:11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
| Sean Walker D | 18:05 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 16:22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Taylor Hall L | 15:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 3 | 16 |
| Jordan Staal C | 15:08 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 38 |
| Eric Robinson L | 13:50 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
| Mike Reilly D | 13:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Bradly Nadeau L | 13:06 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 4 | 0 | 60 |
| Mark Jankowski L | 10:55 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 53 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 10:06 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 51 |
| William Carrier L | 9:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 23:06 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 82 |
| J.J. Moser D | 22:55 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.14 | 3 | 3 | 75 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 22:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 2 | 2 | 80 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 19:34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 87 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 19:25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 84 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 19:19 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1.45 | 1 | 1 | 63 |
| Brayden Point C | 18:25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 82 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 16:42 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 90 |
| Max Crozier D | 16:42 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 33 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 88 |
| Declan Carlile D | 15:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 46 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 77 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Nick Paul L | 12:50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 2 | 2 | 66 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 12:26 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 79 |
| Dominic James C | 10:44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 10:18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 57 |
| Jack Finley C | 8:19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.