Tuesday, January 27, 2026
- Expected goals, BUF–TOR
- 2.7–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 48.5%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 31–23
- BUF–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Sabres beat the Maple Leafs 7-4 in a game the chances had about even, 2.7 expected goals to 2.6. Hat trick for Rasmus Dahlin, plus two assists. Three points for Max Domi: one goal and two assists.
- Rasmus DahlinHat trick
Hat trick for Rasmus Dahlin, plus two assists. He also had 10 shot attempts against an average of 5.8. It finished 7-4 for the Sabres.
- Max DomiBig night
Three points for Max Domi: one goal and two assists. He has 8 goals this season. He played 15:55 and had three shots on goal. The Maple Leafs lost 7-4 to the Sabres.
- Auston MatthewsBig night
Auston Matthews had three points, one goal and two assists. He has 26 goals this season. He played 19:36 and had three shots on goal. The Maple Leafs fell 7-4 to the Sabres.
- Mattias SamuelssonBig night
Mattias Samuelsson had three points, three assists. He has 31 points in 50 games this season. He played 21:41 and had no shots on goal. The Sabres beat the Maple Leafs 7-4.
- Joseph WollRough night
Joseph Woll allowed 6 goals on shots worth 2.7 expected goals. That is 3.3 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Maple Leafs fell 7-4 to the Sabres.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
11 goals from 79 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 26:24 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1.24 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Owen Power D | 23:02 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 40 |
| Bowen Byram D | 22:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 2 | 47 |
| Mattias Samuelsson D | 21:41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 41 |
| Tage Thompson C | 18:57 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
| Noah Ostlund C | 18:33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 74 |
| Josh Doan R | 17:19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.45 | 0 | 2 | 73 |
| Zach Benson L | 17:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 41 |
| Konsta Helenius C | 16:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
| Jason Zucker L | 15:55 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Alex Tuch R | 15:44 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 51 |
| Michael Kesselring D | 15:08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 82 |
| Jack Quinn R | 14:21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 13:36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 54 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 11:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 11:47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| Tyson Kozak C | 11:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| Zach Metsa D | 8:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 21:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 5 | 1 | 77 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 21:43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 65 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 20:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| John Tavares C | 19:58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Troy Stecher D | 19:47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| Auston Matthews C | 19:36 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.48 | 1 | 1 | 63 |
| Matthew Knies L | 17:44 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 3 | 0 | 52 |
| Bobby McMann C | 17:40 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 1 | 64 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 17:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 70 |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Max Domi C | 15:55 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 58 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 15:36 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 49 |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Nick Robertson L | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 35 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 13:04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 5 | 0 | 60 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 11:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 9:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute