Saturday, March 7, 2026
- Expected goals, TBL–TOR
- 3.5–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 42.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 33–29
- TBL–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning won 5-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Maple Leafs 3.4 to 2.6 in expected goals. Nikita Kucherov had four points, four assists. Matias Maccelli has scored in 3 straight games.
- Nikita KucherovBig night
Nikita Kucherov had four points, four assists. He has 100 points in 58 games this season. He played 18:36 and had one shot on goal. It finished 5-2 for the Lightning.
- Matias MaccelliStreak
Matias Maccelli has scored in 3 straight games. That makes 5 straight games with a point. That was his 13th goal of the season. The Maple Leafs fell 5-2 to the Lightning.
- William NylanderStreak
William Nylander has a point in 5 straight games. He has 59 points in 47 games this season. The Maple Leafs fell 5-2 to the Lightning.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
7 goals from 79 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Hedman D | 20:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 75 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 20:45 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.55 | 3 | 0 | 63 |
| Erik Cernak D | 19:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 66 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 18:50 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.04 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
| J.J. Moser D | 18:44 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 50 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 18:36 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 17:25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 17:06 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 54 |
| Brayden Point C | 16:52 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 42 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 16:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 33 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 15:43 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0.39 | 1 | 3 | 78 |
| Corey Perry R | 14:58 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:56 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 3 | 1 | 42 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| Scott Sabourin R | 10:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 63 |
| Conor Geekie C | 10:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 5 | 0 | 63 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 22:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 54 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 20:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Matthew Knies L | 19:58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 38 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 42 |
| Auston Matthews C | 19:17 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| John Tavares C | 19:13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 41 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 18:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| William Nylander R | 17:53 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Troy Stecher D | 16:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| Easton Cowan R | 15:18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| Simon Benoit D | 15:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 38 |
| Nick Robertson L | 15:08 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.47 | 2 | 0 | 66 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 14:07 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 53 |
| Dakota Joshua C | 14:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 61 |
| Max Domi C | 13:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 11:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 11:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| Jacob Quillan C | 8:44 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute