GRIT & GF

Monday, April 6, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

Buffalo Sabres

Expected goals, TBL–BUF
2.4–3.1
all situations, empty nets out
BUF share of xG
56.9%
50% is even
Shots on goal
25–30
TBL–BUF
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Sabres won 4-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Lightning 3.2 to 2.4 in expected goals. Jake Guentzel has a point in 8 straight games. Nikita Kucherov has scored in 3 straight games.

  • Jake Guentzel has a point in 8 straight games. He has 37 goals this season. He played 24:54 and had six shots on goal. The Lightning lost 4-2 to the Sabres.

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored in 3 straight games. He has 43 goals this season. He played 23:30 and had three shots on goal. The Lightning lost 4-2 to the Sabres.

  • Gage Goncalves played 19:17, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 31 points in 69 games this season. The Lightning lost 4-2 to the Sabres.

  • Alex TuchVolume

    Alex Tuch had 9 shot attempts. Six got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 4.8 attempts a game. The Sabres beat the Lightning 4-2.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TBLBUF

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 84 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingBUF shooting →

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D25:450240.200065
Jake Guentzel C24:541160.781075
Nikita Kucherov R23:301030.450066
Brayden Point C20:110120.241071
J.J. Moser D19:540020.110064
Gage Goncalves C19:170000.163156
Nick Paul L18:050020.093036
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D18:020030.102043
Emil Lilleberg D16:580000.012259
Ryan McDonagh D16:440000.100229
Oliver Bjorkstrand R14:570010.005170
Yanni Gourde C14:530000.00014
Erik Cernak D13:580010.041220
Corey Perry R12:360010.110128
Zemgus Girgensons C11:290000.00200
Pontus Holmberg R8:210000.00115
Mitchell Chaffee R6:230000.002057
Scott Sabourin R5:580000.005020

Buffalo Sabres

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Rasmus Dahlin D23:010110.071042
Mattias Samuelsson D22:440010.072131
Bowen Byram D21:160210.000070
Owen Power D19:480020.050066
Alex Tuch R17:591060.922068
Tage Thompson C17:560010.123051
Zach Benson L17:440130.401037
Ryan McLeod C17:310100.000089
Josh Norris C17:101020.162135
Josh Doan R14:400100.072035
Jack Quinn R14:241041.330054
Jason Zucker L13:441140.510068
Luke Schenn D12:540000.012153
Beck Malenstyn L12:530010.105251
Logan Stanley D12:400010.020263
Peyton Krebs C12:370010.022164
Jordan Greenway L11:190010.060060
Josh Dunne C7:580010.120260

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.