GRIT & GF

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Toronto Maple Leafs

Colorado Avalanche

Expected goals, TOR–COL
2.5–4.2
all situations, empty nets out
COL share of xG
62.7%
50% is even
Shots on goal
23–33
TOR–COL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Avalanche created more, 4.2 expected goals to 2.5, and lost 6-3 to the Maple Leafs. It was back and forth: two lead changes. Two of the Maple Leafs' goals came on the power play. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. William Nylander had five points, two goals and three assists. Nathan MacKinnon had 13 shot attempts.

  • William Nylander had five points, two goals and three assists. That was his fifth goal of the season. The Maple Leafs beat the Avalanche 6-3.

  • Nathan MacKinnon had 13 shot attempts. Eight got through to the goalie, and two went in. He came in averaging 6.8 attempts a game. The Avalanche lost 6-3 to the Maple Leafs.

  • Four points for Auston Matthews: two goals and two assists. He also had 10 shot attempts against an average of 5.4. It finished 6-3 for the Maple Leafs.

  • Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.5 expected goals. That is 2.5 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Avalanche lost 6-3 to the Maple Leafs.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

TORCOL

Where the shots came from

9 goals from 85 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← TOR shootingCOL shooting →

Toronto Maple Leafs

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Jake McCabe D23:400010.081418
Auston Matthews C22:062251.370356
Darren Raddysh D21:130000.002422
William Nylander R19:512340.460041
Morgan Rielly D18:480100.022245
Troy Stecher D18:330010.021371
Nick Paul L17:150200.162136
Kirill Marchenko R16:530100.001049
Colton Sissons C16:500000.854017
Nick Blankenburg D16:111010.143031
Easton Cowan R16:071020.160240
Jack Roslovic C15:210050.750048
Gavin McKenna L15:210120.140052
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D14:250000.001061
Teddy Blueger C13:590010.070028
Brandon Duhaime L10:580010.00310
Bo Groulx C9:050000.002227
Chris Tanev D3:290000.01002

Colorado Avalanche

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Martin Necas C24:070120.363177
Nathan MacKinnon C23:562080.680075
Cale Makar D21:370130.190070
Nazem Kadri C20:500030.580152
Artturi Lehkonen L20:190010.551075
Devon Toews D19:050100.000270
Sam Malinski D18:240000.001149
Brett Kulak D18:020110.000139
Gabriel Landeskog L17:520020.342358
Brock Nelson C17:471040.540068
Josh Manson D15:550010.081268
Brent Burns D15:410010.031170
T.J. Hughes R14:000030.421155
Parker Kelly C11:350000.082133
Fedor Svechkov C11:180010.041024
Jaden Schwartz L10:390000.000091
Nicolas Roy C8:590020.160026
Zachary L'Heureux L7:570010.183037

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.