GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
2Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
3Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
4Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
5Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
6Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
7Michael D'AlessioD, 17. Carrying a team, PlaymakerErie OttersOHL–480.33+42%52%3%3%Third-pair

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.