Monday, December 8, 2025
- Expected goals, TBL–TOR
- 2.3–2.0
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 46.9%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 29–25
- TBL–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Maple Leafs beat the Lightning 2-0. Expected goals had it close, 2.0 to 2.2. Dennis Hildeby made 29 saves and allowed nothing. Auston Matthews put 8 shots on goal.
- Dennis HildebyShutout
Dennis Hildeby made 29 saves and allowed nothing. The shots he faced were worth 2.2 goals to an average goalie. The Maple Leafs beat the Lightning 2-0.
- Auston MatthewsVolume
Auston Matthews put 8 shots on goal. His average this season was 3.7. His 1.6 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Maple Leafs beat the Lightning 2-0.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TBLTOR
0204060
TBL 41
TOR 38
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
2 goals from 79 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingTOR shooting →
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov R | 24:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 52 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 23:42 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 68 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 21:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 38 |
| J.J. Moser D | 21:12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 48 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 20:53 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 20:51 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 20:18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 50 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 19:02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
| Brayden Point C | 18:48 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 64 |
| Victor Hedman D | 17:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 42 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 14:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 39 |
| Max Crozier D | 14:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Nick Paul L | 13:46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 64 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 41 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 12:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 45 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 9:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Jack Finley C | 6:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 5:25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 25:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 3 | 49 |
| Troy Stecher D | 23:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 21:39 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 42 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 21:20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 50 |
| Matthew Knies L | 20:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 55 |
| Auston Matthews C | 20:07 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1.58 | 0 | 3 | 47 |
| William Nylander R | 19:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| John Tavares C | 17:43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
| Max Domi C | 17:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Easton Cowan R | 16:52 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Simon Benoit D | 15:15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Scott Laughton C | 14:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.89 | 2 | 1 | 71 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 13:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 83 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 13:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 3 | 1 | 72 |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 11:11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Dakota Mermis D | 10:34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 73 |
| Bobby McMann C | 9:17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 93 |
| Dakota Joshua C | 8:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.