GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.80+39%64%33%15%Fourth-liner
2Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHL–110.64−20%53%39%19%Fourth-liner
3Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–90.11+24%62%25%9%Fourth-liner
4Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hotSarnia StingOHL–121.33+2%58%20%18%Fourth-liner
5Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, HeavyGuelph StormOHL–91.56−12%59%22%6%Fourth-liner
6Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamPeterborough PetesOHL–101.60+18%63%20%8%Fourth-liner
7Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hotKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.08−9%51%21%6%Fourth-liner
8Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+39%51%19%9%Fourth-liner?
9Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, HonestNorth Bay BattalionOHL–100.70+18%52%16%10%Fourth-liner
10Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooterSudbury WolvesOHL–81.75−5%55%18%4%Fourth-liner
11Andrew LaurinRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–100.70054%12%5%Fourth-liner?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.