GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
2Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
3Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
4Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
5Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
6Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
7Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
8Nate YellowagaD, 18. Edgy, SteadyVictoria RoyalsWHL–90.44−21%27%5%2%AHLer
9Will McLaughlinD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPortland WinterhawksWHL–70.29+22%29%2%1%AHLer
10Will ScottRD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.27027%3%<1%AHLer
11Giorgos PantelasRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–100.20+20%29%2%1%AHLer
12Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
13Grayson TashD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–80.75+15%24%7%<1%AHLer
14Grady PichetteRD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–80.13−2%23%2%2%AHLer
15Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
16Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
17Jiri KamasD, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–110.64−19%17%2%<1%AHLer
18Brek LiskeD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–90.44+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
19Josh TollLD, 19. Carrying a team, PlaymakerWenatchee WildWHL–670.81+31%14%3%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.