Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, Honest | Kamloops BlazersWHL | – | 68 | 1.43 | −1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | Tweener |
| 2 | Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, Rising | Spokane ChiefsWHL | – | 8 | 0.88 | −13% | 44% | 16% | 10% | Tweener |
| 3 | Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, Steady | Kamloops BlazersWHL | – | 7 | 0.57 | +13% | 48% | 19% | 8% | Tweener? |
| 4 | Chase SurkanLW, 17. Playmaker, Rising | Brandon Wheat KingsWHL | – | 11 | 1.18 | 0 | 48% | 14% | 5% | Tweener |
| 5 | Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, Steady | Calgary HitmenWHL | – | 9 | 0.78 | −19% | 48% | 14% | 9% | Tweener |
| 6 | Ben HarveyRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Prince Albert RaidersWHL | – | 11 | 0.91 | +22% | 42% | 13% | 6% | Tweener |
| 7 | Zachary LansardRW, 18. Steady, Honest | Regina PatsWHL | – | 8 | 0.88 | −11% | 35% | 15% | 12% | Tweener |
| 8 | Cruz PavaoRW, 18. Carrying a team, Steady | Tri-City AmericansWHL | – | 10 | 0.70 | +28% | 38% | 14% | 5% | Tweener |
| 9 | Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, Steady | Tri-City AmericansWHL | – | 9 | 0.67 | +19% | 46% | 12% | 6% | Tweener |
| 10 | Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked roster | Saskatoon BladesWHL | – | 9 | 1.67 | −18% | 44% | 7% | 2% | Tweener |
| 11 | Logan StuartLW, 18. Carrying a team, Sniper | Lethbridge HurricanesWHL | – | 10 | 1.30 | +18% | 34% | 8% | 1% | Tweener? |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.