GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
2Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
3Declan McNallyD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.09+44%32%9%9%AHLer?
4Cooper McAslanD, 17. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–91.00−13%44%9%3%AHLer?
5Matthew HendersonD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.25−15%33%12%5%AHLer
6Zack NaishD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameNiagara IceDogsOHL–10.00+5%34%8%4%AHLer?
7Max FransenD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.27+32%30%5%5%AHLer?
8Zach NymanD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+26%38%4%2%AHLer
9David BuchmanD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueBrantford BulldogsOHL–120.83−8%27%8%3%AHLer?
10Caleb MitchellD, 18. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–90.33−17%35%2%2%AHLer
11Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
12Lucas AmbrosioD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyErie OttersOHL–100.50+28%37%<1%<1%AHLer
13Anthony TimmermanLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–110.18+34%22%8%2%AHLer
14Ondrej RumlD, 18. Rising, SniperOttawa 67'sOHL–91.11+4%30%4%2%AHLer
15Cole EmertonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerSarnia StingOHL–121.17−8%28%3%2%AHLer
16Kaden AucoinD, 17. Edgy, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–70.00−12%22%9%2%AHLer
17Sean Matthew GoyetteD, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–20.00+26%32%3%1%AHLer?
18Vladimir DraveckyD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerGuelph StormOHL–91.56−16%30%2%<1%AHLer
19Carter HicksD, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.40+26%29%1%1%AHLer
20A.J. GladmanD, 17. Carrying a team, HeavyErie OttersOHL–40.25+24%22%2%2%AHLer?
21Genc UlaD, 17. Edgy, RisingSudbury WolvesOHL–100.40−16%20%3%2%AHLer
22Callum CroskeryD, 18. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHL–90.56028%1%<1%AHLer
23Alexander BileckiLD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerKitchener RangersOHL–111.00+17%19%2%2%AHLer
24Andrew RobinsonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerWindsor SpitfiresOHL–81.13+3%19%1%<1%AHLer
25Luka GrazianoD, 18. Rising, SteadyFlint FirebirdsOHL–90.67−8%16%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.