Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oiva KeskinenC, 22. Steady, Honest | Cleveland MonstersAHL | CBJ#194, 2023 | 6 | 0.67 | −13% | 20% | 11% | <1% | Long shot |
| 2 | Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#125, 2023 | 6 | 0.33 | +17% | 23% | 1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 3 | Melvin FernströmR, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#93, 2024 | 3 | 0.33 | −23% | 10% | 3% | <1% | Long shot |
| 4 | Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#120, 2022 | 6 | 0.17 | +22% | 13% | 2% | <1% | Long shot |
| 5 | Lucas EllinasL, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#104, 2024 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 15% | 1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 6 | Anthony (AJ) SpellacyR, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#72, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +4% | 13% | 2% | <1% | Long shot |
| 7 | Petr SikoraC, 20. Young for the league, Edgy | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#178, 2024 | 6 | 0.17 | 0 | 10% | 1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 8 | Alexis BernierD, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#73, 2024 | 4 | 0.00 | −19% | 13% | 3% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 9 | Matthew AndonovskiD, 21. Edgy, Heavy | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#140, 2023 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 13% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 10 | Owen ProtzD, 20. Young for the league, Edgy | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#102, 2024 | 5 | 0.00 | −27% | 8% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 11 | Matvei ShuravinD, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#97, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 12 | Matt CopponiC, 23. Steady, Honest | Bakersfield CondorsAHL | EDM#216, 2023 | 29 | 0.10 | −7% | 4% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 13 | Alex CiernikL, 21. Steady, Honest | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#120, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | −13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 14 | Axel HurtigD, 21. Young for the league, Edgy | Calgary WranglersAHL | CGY#208, 2023 | 7 | 0.43 | −11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 15 | Ashton CumbyD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a team | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#162, 2025 | 1 | 0.00 | +36% | 3% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.