GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL#125, 202360.33+17%23%1%<1%Long shot
2Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33024%<1%<1%Long shot?
3Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT51.00−23%20%1%<1%Long shot
4Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%21%<1%<1%Long shot?
5Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamIowa WildAHL–20.00+24%18%1%<1%Long shot?
6Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
7Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#120, 202260.17+22%13%2%<1%Long shot
8Vinny BorgesiD, 22. Undersized, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–31.33−19%14%<1%<1%Long shot?
9Radim MrtkaD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyRochester AmericansAHL–60.00−4%15%2%<1%Long shot
10Alexis BernierD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#73, 202440.00−19%13%3%<1%Long shot?
11Jack MatierD, 23. Big frame, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–240.25−2%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
12Phillip SinnD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
13Loke JohanssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueProvidence BruinsAHL–40.00+28%15%<1%<1%Long shot?
14Otto SalinD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–430.12−2%10%<1%<1%Long shot
15Jackson EdwardD, 22. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–50.20−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
16Matthew AndonovskiD, 21. Edgy, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#140, 202350.00013%<1%<1%Long shot
17Tomas CibulkaD, 22. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–50.20012%<1%<1%Long shot?
18Abram WiebeD, 23. Heavy, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.43−16%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
19Tomas LavoieD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.17+2%9%2%<1%Long shot
20Konnor SmithD, 21. Heavy, SteadySan Diego GullsAHL–40.00+9%11%<1%<1%Long shot?
21Boston BuckbergerD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHL–60.33−13%10%<1%<1%Long shot?
22Rhett ParsonsD, 23. Heavy, SteadyToronto MarliesAHL–80.1308%<1%<1%Long shot?
23Owen ProtzD, 20. Young for the league, EdgyLaval RocketAHLMTL#102, 202450.00−27%8%<1%<1%Long shot
24Spencer GillD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–60.50−13%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
25Djibril ToureD, 23. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT50.2007%<1%<1%Long shot
26Justice ChristensenD, 21. Young for the league, UndersizedGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.14−9%6%1%<1%Long shot
27Charlie WrightD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–30.00−19%3%<1%<1%Long shot
28Artur CholachD, 23. Steady, HonestHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–100.20−16%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
29Viking Gustafsson NybergD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN70.14+29%8%<1%<1%Long shot
30Matvei ShuravinD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#97, 202460.00+23%5%<1%<1%Long shot
31Jared WoolleyD, 20. Young for the league, EdgyOntario ReignAHL–30.0006%<1%<1%Long shot
32Connor PunnettD, 23. Steady, HonestTexas StarsAHLDAL180.11+4%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
33Ben DanfordD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−21%7%<1%<1%Long shot
34Charlie ElickD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−13%5%<1%<1%Long shot
35Maleek McGowanD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT10.00−24%6%<1%<1%Long shot
36Axel HurtigD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#208, 202370.43−11%3%<1%<1%Long shot
37Ashton CumbyD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#162, 202510.00+36%3%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.