Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, Rising | Brampton SteelheadsOHL | – | 10 | 0.80 | +39% | 64% | 33% | 15% | Fourth-liner |
| 2 | Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked roster | Guelph StormOHL | – | 11 | 0.64 | −20% | 53% | 39% | 19% | Fourth-liner |
| 3 | Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Blainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL | – | 12 | 0.92 | +25% | 55% | 43% | 10% | Fourth-liner? |
| 4 | Maddox SchultzC, 16. Young for the league, Edgy | Regina PatsWHL | – | 8 | 1.25 | −9% | 66% | 27% | 15% | Fourth-liner |
| 5 | Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, Steady | Victoriaville TigresQMJHL | – | 11 | 1.36 | −3% | 60% | 32% | 18% | Fourth-liner |
| 6 | Owen KraftLW, 16. Young for the league, Steady | Tri-City AmericansWHL | – | 8 | 0.75 | +18% | 54% | 31% | 16% | Fourth-liner? |
| 7 | Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, Steady | Calgary WranglersAHL | – | 7 | 0.29 | −14% | 66% | 26% | 12% | Fourth-liner |
| 8 | Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Erie OttersOHL | – | 9 | 0.11 | +24% | 62% | 25% | 9% | Fourth-liner |
| 9 | Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hot | Sarnia StingOHL | – | 12 | 1.33 | +2% | 58% | 20% | 18% | Fourth-liner |
| 10 | Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, Heavy | Guelph StormOHL | – | 9 | 1.56 | −12% | 59% | 22% | 6% | Fourth-liner |
| 11 | Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a team | Peterborough PetesOHL | – | 10 | 1.60 | +18% | 63% | 20% | 8% | Fourth-liner |
| 12 | Beckett HamiltonRW, 18. Rising, Steady | Red Deer RebelsWHL | – | 9 | 2.22 | −3% | 52% | 24% | 12% | Fourth-liner |
| 13 | Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hot | Kingston FrontenacsOHL | – | 12 | 1.08 | −9% | 51% | 21% | 6% | Fourth-liner |
| 14 | Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Oshawa GeneralsOHL | – | 12 | 0.33 | +39% | 51% | 19% | 9% | Fourth-liner? |
| 15 | Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, Sniper | Victoriaville TigresQMJHL | – | 8 | 1.50 | 0 | 57% | 18% | 8% | Fourth-liner |
| 16 | Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, Honest | Calgary WranglersAHL | – | 7 | 0.57 | −11% | 67% | 17% | 2% | Fourth-liner |
| 17 | Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, Steady | Shawinigan CataractesQMJHL | – | 10 | 0.70 | +6% | 51% | 25% | 9% | Fourth-liner? |
| 18 | Liam PueRW, 16. Rising, Young for the league | Regina PatsWHL | – | 9 | 1.44 | −2% | 51% | 21% | 8% | Fourth-liner |
| 19 | Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, Honest | North Bay BattalionOHL | – | 10 | 0.70 | +18% | 52% | 16% | 10% | Fourth-liner |
| 20 | Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooter | Sudbury WolvesOHL | – | 8 | 1.75 | −5% | 55% | 18% | 4% | Fourth-liner |
| 21 | Andrew LaurinRW, 16. Young for the league, Steady | Ottawa 67'sOHL | – | 10 | 0.70 | 0 | 54% | 12% | 5% | Fourth-liner? |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.