GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Jackson CrowderC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyOhio State Univ.NCAAWSH#155, 202510.00+5%21%3%2%Long shot
2Lirim AmidovskiR, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAMIN#121, 202540.25−5%17%<1%<1%Long shot
3Shea BuschL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyPenn State Univ.NCAAFLA#128, 202530.00+10%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
4Emile GuiteL, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of New HampshireNCAAANA#159, 202540.75+10%13%1%<1%Long shot
5Alexandre BlaisC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAANA#100, 202440.75−5%15%<1%<1%Long shot
6Zach NehringR, 21. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAWPG#82, 202340.75−3%12%1%<1%Long shot
7Ben MacDonaldC, 22. Steady, HonestHarvard Univ.NCAASEA#91, 2022230.43+4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
8Ty HenricksL, 21. Heavy, SteadyWestern Michigan Univ.NCAANYR#183, 202340.75−3%11%<1%<1%Long shot
9Blake MontgomeryL, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#117, 2024380.45−2%13%<1%<1%Long shot
10Mason MoeC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAANJD#90, 202530.33−1%12%<1%<1%Long shot
11Beckett HendricksonC, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of MinnesotaNCAABOS#124, 202340.50−1%11%<1%<1%Long shot
12Jaden LipinskiC, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MaineNCAACGY#112, 202330.00+10%12%<1%<1%Long shot
13Brandon SvobodaC, 21. Heavy, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAAOTT#71, 202340.25−10%10%<1%<1%Long shot
14Hayden PaupanekisC, 19. Big frame, SteadySt. Cloud State Univ.NCAAMTL#69, 202540.25+10%8%1%<1%Long shot
15Raoul BoilardC, 20. Steady, HonestLake Superior State Univ.NCAANYR#119, 202440.75+15%9%1%<1%Long shot
16Tomas MrsicC, 20. Steady, HonestColorado CollegeNCAASTL#113, 202440.25+5%10%<1%<1%Long shot
17Klavs VeinbergsL, 23. Heavy, SteadyColorado CollegeNCAATBL#224, 202240.75+5%7%<1%<1%Long shot
18Cole SpicerC, 22. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAABOS#117, 202240.50−3%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
19Ben MerrillC, 20. Edgy, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAAMTL#166, 202440.00−10%7%<1%<1%Long shot
20Ethan HayC, 21. Steady, HonestMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAATBL#211, 202340.25+15%9%<1%<1%Long shot
21Carter KlippensteinC, 19. Edgy, SteadyProvidence CollegeNCAAMIN#123, 202510.00−3%7%<1%<1%Long shot
22Michael CallowR, 22. Big frame, SteadyHarvard Univ.NCAAANA#154, 2022160.44+4%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
23Cameron O'NeillR, 22. Steady, HonestUMassNCAAOTT#143, 2022310.45−4%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
24Jack HarveyL, 23. Undersized, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAATBL#193, 202340.50−10%6%<1%<1%Long shot
25Bruno IdzanL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#181, 202530.67+1%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
26Ryan MacPhersonC, 21. Steady, HonestRobert Morris Univ.NCAAPHI#172, 202340.00+15%5%<1%<1%Long shot
27James ClarkL, 21. Steady, HonestMichigan State Univ.NCAAMIN#213, 202330.67−9%6%<1%<1%Long shot
28Nicholas VantassellR, 22. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of New HampshireNCAAOTT#215, 202340.25+10%5%<1%<1%Long shot?
29Erik PåhlssonC, 22. Steady, HonestOhio State Univ.NCAANSH#213, 202440.00+5%4%<1%<1%Long shot
30Cade LittlerC, 22. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAACGY#219, 202260.50−3%4%<1%<1%Long shot
31Michael EmersonR, 22. Steady, HonestMerrimack CollegeNCAACAR#190, 202320.00+15%3%<1%<1%Long shot
32Connor LevisR, 21. Steady, HonestBowling Green State Univ.NCAAWPG#210, 202351.40+15%4%<1%<1%Long shot
33Antoine DorionC, 20. Edgy, SteadyMaryville Univ.NCAASTL#209, 202413.00+15%3%<1%<1%Long shot
34David KleeC, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of Notre DameNCAASJS#196, 202340.00+10%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
35James FisherR, 22. Edgy, SteadySt. Lawrence Univ.NCAACBJ#203, 202230.33+15%2%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.