Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league | San Diego GullsAHL | ANA#10, 2025 | 4 | 0.75 | +18% | 88% | 47% | 35% | Middle-sixer |
| 2 | Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, Steady | Univ. of MichiganNCAA | MTL#21, 2024 | 6 | 2.33 | −1% | 90% | 34% | 28% | Middle-sixer |
| 3 | Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, Heavy | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#14, 2022 | 6 | 1.50 | −15% | 86% | 44% | 19% | Middle-sixer |
| 4 | Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Rochester AmericansAHL | BUF#16, 2022 | 7 | 1.43 | +2% | 76% | 47% | 17% | Middle-sixer? |
| 5 | Jaxon JacobsonC, 17. Sniper, Steady | Brandon Wheat KingsWHL | – | 11 | 0.82 | −1% | 68% | 42% | 37% | Middle-sixer |
| 6 | Madden DaneaultC, 15. Young for the league, Playmaker | Kelowna RocketsWHL | – | 8 | 1.25 | +4% | 67% | 40% | 32% | Middle-sixer? |
| 7 | Brock EnglandC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Seattle ThunderbirdsWHL | – | 8 | 1.00 | +20% | 65% | 40% | 28% | Middle-sixer |
| 8 | Kash KwajahC, 16. Young for the league, Playmaker | Sudbury WolvesOHL | – | 10 | 1.10 | −15% | 67% | 38% | 13% | Middle-sixer? |
| 9 | Brooks RogowskiC, 18. Carrying a team, Heavy | Oshawa GeneralsOHL | – | 10 | 0.70 | +34% | 65% | 40% | 10% | Middle-sixer |
| 10 | Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, Heavy | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#26, 2023 | 61 | 0.74 | −2% | 72% | 25% | 8% | Middle-sixer |
| 11 | Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frame | Univ. of MassachusettsNCAA | CHI#25, 2025 | 6 | 0.50 | +5% | 62% | 24% | 15% | Middle-sixer |
| 12 | Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frame | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#27, 2025 | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 68% | 34% | 6% | Middle-sixer? |
| 13 | Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Hartford Wolf PackAHL | NYR#24, 2024 | 4 | 1.50 | +32% | 70% | 22% | 10% | Middle-sixer |
| 14 | Aiden KellyC, 16. Young for the league, Playmaker | Brantford BulldogsOHL | – | 12 | 1.33 | −2% | 58% | 28% | 15% | Middle-sixer? |
| 15 | Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy | Iowa WildAHL | MIN#21, 2023 | 7 | 0.29 | +24% | 70% | 12% | 8% | Middle-sixer |
| 16 | Parker McMillanRW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Wenatchee WildWHL | – | 5 | 0.20 | +44% | 60% | 17% | 17% | Middle-sixer? |
| 17 | Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, Steady | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#27, 2022 | 6 | 1.00 | +8% | 63% | 15% | 4% | Middle-sixer |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.