Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, Undersized | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#123, 2023 | 67 | 0.64 | −5% | 49% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 2 | Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#100, 2022 | 7 | 1.71 | −15% | 45% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 3 | Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#61, 2023 | 5 | 0.40 | +17% | 45% | 9% | 1% | Tweener |
| 4 | Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#115, 2021 | 4 | 0.25 | +10% | 48% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 5 | Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#92, 2022 | 45 | 0.76 | −2% | 43% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 6 | Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, Honest | Cleveland MonstersAHL | CBJ#25, 2021 | 6 | 0.50 | −14% | 43% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 7 | Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, Edgy | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#56, 2024 | 5 | 0.00 | +22% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 8 | Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#37, 2024 | 6 | 0.50 | −26% | 41% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 9 | Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, Playmaker | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | – | 63 | 0.56 | −3% | 37% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 10 | Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, Honest | Providence BruinsAHL | BOS#132, 2022 | 65 | 0.55 | −2% | 36% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 11 | Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#42, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | +10% | 43% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 12 | Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | – | 53 | 0.49 | +6% | 33% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 13 | Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the league | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#57, 2023 | 7 | 0.29 | −19% | 44% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 14 | Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, Honest | Belleville SenatorsAHL | – | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 35% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 15 | Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, Honest | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#37, 2022 | 6 | 0.33 | −3% | 37% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 16 | Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, Honest | Calgary WranglersAHL | NJD#48, 2023 | 42 | 0.17 | 0 | 42% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 17 | Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, Honest | Bakersfield CondorsAHL | EDM#56, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 40% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 18 | Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 5 | 0.60 | −12% | 29% | 5% | <1% | Tweener |
| 19 | Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, Honest | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 3 | 1.00 | −12% | 29% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.