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Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

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#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Logan SawyerC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAAMTL#78, 202431.67−3%32%9%2%AHLer
2Adam BenakC, 19. Young for the league, UndersizedWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAMIN#102, 202541.75−3%28%9%2%AHLer
3Nathan BehmR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyArizona State Univ.NCAACHI#66, 202560.67−3%25%10%3%AHLer
4Ryder RitchieR, 20. Steady, HonestBoston Univ.NCAAMIN#45, 202430.67−9%34%2%1%AHLer
5Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
6Maxim MasséR, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MassachusettsNCAAANA#66, 202460.67−1%21%6%3%AHLer
7Jayden PerronR, 21. Sniper, UndersizedUniv. of MichiganNCAACAR#94, 202362.50−5%24%3%1%AHLer
8Eric NilsonC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAAANA#45, 202531.67−8%34%<1%<1%AHLer
9Miguel MarquesR, 20. Steady, HonestNortheastern Univ.NCAANSH#87, 202431.67+10%24%3%1%AHLer
10Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
11Christopher PelosiC, 21. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAABOS#92, 202351.00+10%21%2%<1%AHLer
12Conrad FondrkC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANJD#50, 202520.00−9%33%1%<1%AHLer?
13Austin BurnevikR, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAANA#182, 202440.25−1%20%3%<1%AHLer
14Viktor NorringerL, 20. Big frame, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANSH#127, 202430.33−10%22%3%2%AHLer
15Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
16Clarke CaswellL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#141, 202441.00−3%21%2%<1%AHLer
17Ben KevanR, 19. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAANJD#63, 202550.60−1%17%2%<1%AHLer
18Ollie JosephsonC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of North DakotaNCAASEA#105, 202440.00+1%21%1%<1%AHLer
19Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
20William TomkoC, 19. Steady, HonestOhio State Univ.NCAASEA#204, 202640.50+5%16%4%<1%AHLer
21Sam HarrisL, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAMTL#133, 202341.00−3%12%<1%<1%AHLer
22Javon MooreL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAOTT#112, 202440.00−1%17%1%<1%AHLer
23Julius SumpfC, 21. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#98, 202532.00−3%16%<1%<1%AHLer
24Ryan WalshC, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAABOS#188, 2023331.00+4%14%<1%<1%AHLer?
25Barrett HallC, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAASEA#164, 202260.67+5%11%<1%<1%AHLer
26Joey MuldowneyR, 22. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAASJS#172, 202240.50−5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
27Cole BrownL, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of Notre DameNCAANJD#164, 202320.00+10%14%<1%<1%AHLer
28Owen BecknerC, 21. Steady, HonestColorado CollegeNCAAOTT#204, 202340.25+5%14%1%<1%AHLer
29David RozsivalR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#161, 202521.00+5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
30Zaccharya WisdomR, 22. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAASEA#212, 202341.00−3%8%<1%<1%AHLer
31Reese LaubachC, 22. Steady, HonestPenn State Univ.NCAASJS#217, 202230.00+10%8%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.