Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#27, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +36% | 48% | 14% | 3% | Tweener |
| 2 | Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#30, 2022 | 34 | 0.38 | +27% | 43% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 3 | Cam LundC, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#34, 2022 | 37 | 0.68 | −5% | 48% | 6% | 3% | Tweener |
| 4 | Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#63, 2023 | 6 | 0.33 | +23% | 41% | 7% | 4% | Tweener |
| 5 | Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#76, 2023 | 6 | 0.00 | +22% | 41% | 9% | 2% | Tweener |
| 6 | Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#95, 2023 | 26 | 0.62 | +7% | 45% | 6% | 2% | Tweener? |
| 7 | Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#66, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +43% | 37% | 10% | 3% | Tweener |
| 8 | Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, Honest | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#157, 2022 | 48 | 0.79 | +8% | 43% | 3% | 1% | Tweener |
| 9 | Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#179, 2022 | 6 | 0.83 | +16% | 40% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 10 | Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a team | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#133, 2022 | 5 | 1.60 | +15% | 39% | 2% | 2% | Tweener |
| 11 | Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Syracuse CrunchAHL | TBL#37, 2023 | 5 | 0.20 | +23% | 47% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 12 | Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, Honest | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | – | 64 | 0.69 | +10% | 43% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 13 | Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#221, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | +36% | 43% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 14 | Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, Undersized | Cleveland MonstersAHL | – | 6 | 1.00 | −7% | 39% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 15 | Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frame | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#48, 2022 | 5 | 0.80 | +16% | 43% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 16 | Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, Steady | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | VGK#177, 2022 | 2 | 0.50 | +4% | 36% | 4% | 1% | Tweener |
| 17 | Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, Steady | Hershey BearsAHL | – | 41 | 0.83 | +7% | 36% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 18 | Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, Heavy | San Diego GullsAHL | – | 7 | 1.00 | +16% | 35% | 6% | <1% | Tweener |
| 19 | Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#26, 2022 | 6 | 0.67 | −24% | 32% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 20 | Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | – | 30 | 0.93 | +2% | 34% | 5% | 1% | Tweener? |
| 21 | Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, Honest | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 37% | 3% | 1% | Tweener |
| 22 | Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, Sniper | Laval RocketAHL | – | 6 | 1.33 | −18% | 35% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.